Canada's consumer price index report for January brought good news for consumers, businesses and the Bank of Canada alike. CPI dropped to 2.9%, led by lower year-over-year figures in gasoline prices. On a monthly basis, prices stayed flat. Consumers breathed a sigh of relief as grocery prices grew ... READ MORE >
Canada
Canada’s job market exceeded expectations in January, adding 37,000 jobs
The Canadian economy refuses to go down without a fight. Nearly two years into a cycle of steep interest rate increases and after half a year with the policy rate at 5%, the economy added 37,000 jobs in January, far exceeding expectations. The unemployment rate fell for the first time in over a ... READ MORE >
Canada financial conditions update: Stabilization and recovery
Canada’s financial conditions remain underwater for now, signaling slow growth in the first and second quarters of the year after a contraction last year in the third and fourth quarters. As the Bank of Canada said in its December policy statement, higher interest rates are restraining spending. ... READ MORE >
Canadian economy grew more than expected in November
The Canadian economy expanded in November by 0.2% on a month-over-month basis, slightly exceeding expectations after staying flat for three months. The goods-producing industries were responsible for most of the expansion, growing by 0.6%, the highest rate since January last year. Meanwhile, the ... READ MORE >
The case for the Bank of Canada to accelerate rate cuts
With restrictive financial conditions, high interest rates and still-elevated inflation, the Canadian economy has come to a standstill and is now at a tipping point. The Bank of Canada’s decisions over the next few months could influence whether the economy arrives at a soft landing or falls into a ... READ MORE >
Canada failed to add jobs in December
The Canadian economy is slipping into no-growth territory. In December, Canada lost 23,500 full-time jobs, replaced by a gain of 23,600 part-time positions. Still, the mixed signals that dominated the latter half of last year have not given way to more unanimous signs of a stalling economy. The ... READ MORE >
Inflation in Canada stayed steady at 3.1%
Canada’s inflation in November failed to make progress, staying steady at 3.1%. But core inflation apart from housing and food continued to trend lower and came in around 3.5%, markedly lower than earlier this year. Food and housing remain primary drivers of inflation. On a year-over-year basis, ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds at 5% as excess demand is stomped out
In an acknowledgment of the economy's surprise contraction in the third quarter, the Bank of Canada on Wednesday shifted its tone on monetary policy from hawkish to neutral as it held its policy rate steady at 5 per cent. A series of gradual rate cuts from the current 5% is in order starting in April ... READ MORE >
Canada’s unemployment rises to 5.8%, adding to case for rate cuts
Canada added 25,000 jobs in November as its unemployment rate climbed to 5.8%, its highest level since January 2022, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. Together with the weak third-quarter gross domestic product report on Thursday, November’s jobs data adds more evidence to the argument for the Bank ... READ MORE >
Canada’s economy contracted more than expected, suggesting a pivot on rates
Canada’s economy contracted more than expected in the third quarter, suggesting that the Bank of Canada might soon pivot to cutting rates, as early as April, to avoid a deeper recession than needed. Canada’s gross domestic product declined by 0.3 per cent in the third quarter and by 1.1 per cent on an ... READ MORE >