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Introducing the RSM US Recession Monitor
Apr 28, 2025 BY Joseph Brusuelas
After significant disruption to trade policy and financial markets this year, we now forecast a 55% probability of a recession over the next 12 months. ... READ MORE >Main Content
Consumer businesses face tariffs: Weighing strategies to mitigate costs
By Peter Ramer

U.S. businesses reliant on foreign imports have seen their average tariff rate increase from 2% at the beginning of the year to 24% as of April 11, according to Bloomberg. This has left many businesses, including those in the consumer products industry, considering what actions to take to mitigate the increased costs due to tariffs. … READ MORE >
In trade and confidence data, recession warning signs are mounting
By Tuan Nguyen

Our forecast of a 0.8% drop in gross domestic product in the first quarter looks much more likely now as the trade deficit widened to a record in March. … READ MORE >
Health care industry trend watch: Week of April 28, 2025
By Rebekuh Eley and Danny Schmidt

Mounting tariffs are triggering concerns across health care organizations grappling with already thin margins. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Unemployment expectations, job creation and the trade shock

The percentage of consumers who expect unemployment to rise over the next 12 months soared to 65% in April, according to the University of Michigan’s survey of consumer sentiment. … READ MORE >