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How the Fed plans to use its balance sheet to craft a soft landing
The reduction of the Fed’s balance sheet is little understood, but it may end up challenging the conventional wisdom that the Fed will raise its policy rate four times this year. … READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Omicron variant will extract a powerful economic toll
The omicron variant has caused many people to pull back on work and spending, which is why we have downgraded our first quarter growth forecast for gross domestic product to 1.5%. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Shaping expectations for a major policy shift
Expect the FOMC to lay the groundwork for a major policy shift that includes a rate hike in March, another in June, and a balance sheet runoff likely to start in June or July. … READ MORE >
5 things to know in life sciences: Week of Jan. 17, 2022
From the impact of antimicrobial-resistant diseases to the demand for decentralized clinical trials, each week we highlight five things you need to know in the life sciences industry. … READ MORE >
Monetary and fiscal policy in a changing economy: Why the natural rate of interest is key to Fed policy
The natural rate of interest, also known as r-start, forms the basis for setting the Fed’s overnight policy rate and, by extension, interest rates across all maturities. … READ MORE >