The Real Economy Blog

Real Estate

Real estate and the middle market go hand in hand. Developers in commercial, residential and industrial markets provide the economic fuel to transform local economies, building infrastructure that leads to new business and job creation.

Homebuilder confidence indicators rise but still lag 2018

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The homebuilder confidence index rose to 65 in July, according to the National Association of Homebuilders, as a dovish Federal Reserve is expected to reduce interest rates later this month and potentially two more times by the end of 2019. But while confidence has increased, homebuilders are still facing headwinds related to land, labor and tariffs, all of ... READ MORE >

Cautious builders continue to mute housing supply

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Key government housing metrics continue to show year-over-year declines. Housing starts fell 11.2% in May, according to the Commerce Department, while permits declined 3.8%. These numbers strongly imply there will be a fall back toward 1.22 million housing completions on an annualized basis in the coming months. Ultimately the housing shortage is not ... READ MORE >

Homebuilder confidence supported by rise in housing starts

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There is good news for the U.S. housing market that saw a rough end to 2018. Domestic housing starts rose 5.7 percent to 1.235 million in April, while permits grew at a more modest 0.5 percent to 1.296 million. The growth was primarily driven in the Northeast and Midwest—drying out after a wet and soggy start to the 2019 building season—with month-over-month ... READ MORE >

Key construction index shows improvement, but builder cost hurdles remain

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The National Association of Homebuilders’ Housing Market Index rose 3 points to 66 in May—a seven month high—helped by lower mortgage rates and improved sales of new homes. The increase added momentum to this year’s upward trend following a low at the end of 2018. A reading above 50 indicates more builders see conditions as good than poor. While stable ... READ MORE >

Time to get real on GDP and gasoline prices–read The Real Economy

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In this issue of The Real Economy, RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas reviews leading indicators of economic activity as the United States heads into the late innings of this current business cycle. He also examines the impact of rising gasoline prices, which are pinching consumers' wallets just in time for the holiday driving season. And our new ... READ MORE >

Government offers further clarity in opportunity zone regulations

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The U.S. Department of the Treasury released its latest set of regulatory guidelines on opportunity zones on Wednesday, offering significantly more clarity about the program, which provides tax incentives to developers entering geographic areas slated for improvement. Real estate investors appear to be getting everything they want from the program. The ... READ MORE >

Low interest rates alone can’t save the housing market

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The government reported on Tuesday that December housing starts fell 11.2 percent—their lowest level in two years. Despite this, many remain hopeful of a bounce back by spring. We believe that optimism should be kept in check, as high home prices remain a drag on the market. The Commerce Department said new starts in the month slid to a seasonally ... READ MORE >

Demographics, policy to drive 2019 real estate investment

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Fundamentals in the real estate market continue to be strong; however, at this late stage in the business cycle, investors need to be cautious as they venture into the development of more third-tier markets. Changes in demographics will also influence real estate as more people opt to rent, e-commerce grows and the density of offices’ increases amid an ... READ MORE >