Canada’s gross domestic product edged up by 0.1% in November, the same rate of growth as October, as tightened monetary policies continued to slow the economy. For last three months of 2022, average growth was 1.6% annualized, down from 2.9% in the previous quarter, Statistics Canada reported on ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada
Canada job gains top forecast, complicating decision on rates
The Canadian labour market once again kept managers, investors and, most important, the Bank of Canada on edge as it added 104,000 net jobs in December, significantly higher than the forecast of 5,000. December was the second month in the last three that job gains exceeded 100,000. The ... READ MORE >
RSM’s economic outlook for Canada in eight charts
Economies respond to financial conditions, which are determined by market expectations for monetary policy. With inflation still elevated and demand surging in Canada, we expect the Bank of Canada to continue raising interest rates to cool an overheating economy. While the Canadian economy may ... READ MORE >
Canada inflation eases, but the fight is not over
Inflation in Canada inched down in November, implying more room for the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates despite a slowing economy. November's headline Consumer Price Index dropped to a 6.8% increase from 6.9% on a year-ago basis, remaining significantly above the 2% target rate, ... READ MORE >
Financial conditions and Canada’s real economy
Tightening financial conditions are hurting the Canadian economy to the point where the rising risk of a recession and a housing contraction much larger than anticipated cannot be discounted. Although we expect the Bank of Canada to raise its policy rate to a peak of 4.75% early next year, after ... READ MORE >
Canada job gains slow in November
The Canadian economy added 10,100 jobs in November, easing some of the concerns over an overheating labor market after a blockbuster October jobs report. The data might prove that October's robust job gains was an aberration. Still, the implications regarding the central bank's fight against inflation ... READ MORE >
Canada adds a stunning 108,000 jobs in October, reversing decline of prior 5 months
In a stunning turnaround, Canada added 108,000 jobs in October, reversing all the losses from May to September. The outsize gain and the resilience of the job market suggest that the Bank of Canada will announce another supersize interest rate hike next month. Wages increased by a robust 5.6% and ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada announces smaller-than-expected 50-basis-point hike
The Bank of Canada on Wednesday dialed back the pace of rate hikes, announcing a 50-basis-point hike and bringing the policy rate to 3.75%. This marks a 3.5% increase in just eight months, since the first rate hike in March. This smaller-than-expected rate hike comes as recession fears increase, and ... READ MORE >
Canada’s inflation refuses to cool
September’s consumer price index for Canada put out any hope that inflation will get back under control anytime soon and only added pressure on the Bank of Canada to maintain its aggressive interest rate hikes. Canada’s CPI rose by 6.9% on a year-over-year basis, slightly down from 7% in August, ... READ MORE >
Canada’s job market shows little sign of slowing
Canada’s economy in September reversed the slowing labour market of the summer, adding 21,100 jobs while unemployment fell to 5.2%, according to government data released Friday. Employment among women in their prime working age grew for the first time since May as children headed back to school, ... READ MORE >