One reason for the inadequate supply is that many homeowners are sitting on low-rate mortgages locked in during the pandemic and before. … READ MORE >
The new mercantilism: Tariffs and currency manipulation in an era of U.S.-China tensions
After decades of growing trade and current account imbalances in the U.S., the new administration has set out to change this equation. Now, a new mercantilism, rooted in tariffs and trade protection, is emerging. … READ MORE >
Market minute: Clash of the titans to cause further currency manipulation
The relative yield differentials between the U.S. and China point to the possibility that China will engineer a gradual, but large, depreciation in the yuan this year. … READ MORE >
Market minute: Money markets signal an easing in 10-year yields
A look at the spread between the two-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields in comparison with the Treasury term premium implies room for further easing in long-term yields. … READ MORE >
Inflation accelerates in January amid concerns about rising expectations
The CPI data for January will feed into expectations that the Fed is done cutting rates just as policy uncertainty on trade and immigration is likely to feed into rising inflation expectations.
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Market minute: The problem of sticky and stubborn inflation
While housing inflation is easing, owners’ equivalent rent remains one of the two major catalysts for rising cost pressures on American households. … READ MORE >
Market minute: Foreign purchases of U.S. Treasury issuance
Through the end of November, the largest foreign holders of U.S. debt were Japan at $1.09 trillion, China at $768 billion and the U.K. at $765 billion. … READ MORE >
NIH adopts new policy for funding research
In the end, this policy choice will increase costs and inherently reduce the amount of money available for actual research. … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: Inflation expectations at risk
With the return of global trade protectionism and the return of mercantilism among the G-7 nations, it is not certain that inflation expectations will remain well anchored. … READ MORE >
Job growth cools in January amid revisions to labor force estimate
The tailwind in the American economy resulted in 143,000 jobs added in January and a decline in the jobless rate to 4%. … READ MORE >









