The Real Economy Blog

Economic News from RSM

Joseph Brusuelas, Chief Economist and Principal, RSM US LLP

@JoeBrusuelas

Joe Brusuelas, “chief economist to the middle market,” is the preeminent voice championing issues and policies facing midsize companies in the United States and around the world. An award-winning economist, Brusuelas has more than 20 years’ experience analyzing U.S. monetary policy, labor markets, fiscal policy, international finance, economic indicators and the condition of the U.S. consumer.

A member of the Wall Street Journal’s forecasting panel and the UCLA Anderson School of Management's Board of Directors, Brusuelas regularly briefs members of Congress and other senior officials regarding the impacts of federal policy on the middle market and the factors by which middle market executives make business decisions. He also frequently offers his insights on the U.S., Canadian and global economies in the financial media. In 2020, he was named one of the 100 most influential economists by Richtopia. In December 2023, Brusuelas and the economics team were recognized on Bloomberg's list of Best Bond Forecasters after correctly predicting where the benchmark Treasury would end the year.

Before joining RSM in 2014, Brusuelas spent four years as a senior economist at Bloomberg L.P. and the Bloomberg Briefs newsletter group, where he co-founded the award-winning Bloomberg Economic Brief. Earlier in his career, he was a director at Moody's Analytics covering the U.S. and global economies for the Dismal Scientist website. He also served as chief economist at Merk Investments L.L.C. and chief U.S. economist at IDEAglobal.

Major policy shift at the Federal Reserve: average inflation targeting

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Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell on Wednesday announced a significant shift in the central bank policy regime that moves away from its long held Phillips Curve-based trade-off between employment and inflation. This will provide the Federal Reserve more room for accommodation in an era of zero interest rate policy and position the central bank to support maximum sustainable employment without running the risk of higher inflation expectations and actual inflation. … READ MORE >

Small and medium size firms in crisis: A message from the real economy

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The condition of small and medium-size firms implies a potential inflection point in the nascent economic rebound following the near shutdown of the economy last spring. Without further reform and support of the signature Paycheck Protection Program (PPP)—which provided a vital lifeline to those firms during the worst of the pandemic—there will be an increase in bankruptcies, followed by another round of job losses, this time tilted toward the permanent elimination of jobs that support the bulk of the American middle and working classes. … READ MORE >

US June personal income and spending: Difficult days for the American household

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The American household finds itself under extreme duress as loss of income and jobs caused by the pandemic is on vivid display inside the June U.S. Personal Income and Spending Report. Despite a robust increase in spending, based on income dynamics that are in play during the pandemic, it is quite clear that this is not sustainable and represents the zenith in the release of pent up demand following the reopening of the economy in May. … READ MORE >

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