The Canadian labor market continued to blow past expectations, adding 150,000 jobs in January despite mounting recession concerns, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. Robust job gains combined with the unemployment rate holding steady near a record low at 5% should push the expectations of a ... READ MORE >
Canada
Canadian economy grew by 0.1% in November
Canada’s gross domestic product edged up by 0.1% in November, the same rate of growth as October, as tightened monetary policies continued to slow the economy. For last three months of 2022, average growth was 1.6% annualized, down from 2.9% in the previous quarter, Statistics Canada reported on ... READ MORE >
This week in energy: U.S. LNG exports, oil and gas markets, Canada outlook
In this week's energy industry analysis, we take a look at U.S. liquefied natural gas exports, oil and gas market conditions and a 2023 outlook for Canada's energy sector. U.S. liquefied natural gas exports on the rise Amid the global energy crisis spurred by the Russia/Ukraine war, liquified natural ... READ MORE >
Canada job gains top forecast, complicating decision on rates
The Canadian labour market once again kept managers, investors and, most important, the Bank of Canada on edge as it added 104,000 net jobs in December, significantly higher than the forecast of 5,000. December was the second month in the last three that job gains exceeded 100,000. The ... READ MORE >
RSM’s economic outlook for Canada in eight charts
Economies respond to financial conditions, which are determined by market expectations for monetary policy. With inflation still elevated and demand surging in Canada, we expect the Bank of Canada to continue raising interest rates to cool an overheating economy. While the Canadian economy may ... READ MORE >
Canada inflation eases, but the fight is not over
Inflation in Canada inched down in November, implying more room for the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates despite a slowing economy. November's headline Consumer Price Index dropped to a 6.8% increase from 6.9% on a year-ago basis, remaining significantly above the 2% target rate, ... READ MORE >
Financial conditions and Canada’s real economy
Tightening financial conditions are hurting the Canadian economy to the point where the rising risk of a recession and a housing contraction much larger than anticipated cannot be discounted. Although we expect the Bank of Canada to raise its policy rate to a peak of 4.75% early next year, after ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada increases policy rate to 4.25%
The Bank of Canada raised its policy rate by 50 basis points to 4.25% on Wednesday, the seventh consecutive increase since March. In our estimation, the Bank of Canada is nearing the end of a rate hike cycle that we expect will peak at 4.75%. The Federal Reserve, by contrast, will almost certainly ... READ MORE >
Canada job gains slow in November
The Canadian economy added 10,100 jobs in November, easing some of the concerns over an overheating labor market after a blockbuster October jobs report. The data might prove that October's robust job gains was an aberration. Still, the implications regarding the central bank's fight against inflation ... READ MORE >
Canada inflation remains elevated amid high gas prices
Despite aggressive interest rate hikes and an economy that is beginning to cool, inflation in Canada remained elevated in October. The consumer price index rose by 6.9% on a year-over-year basis, matching September’s increase. On a month-over-month basis, the index rose by 0.7%, the largest increase since ... READ MORE >