Resilience in the economy should not be a reason to delay rate cuts. While the stronger-than expected job report released on Friday speaks to the resilience of the Canadian economy, the long-term trend is an undeniable weakening in the job market. In April, Canada added 90,400 jobs, far surpassing ... READ MORE >
Canada
Bank of Canada holds its rate at 5% in dovish statement
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 5% at its meeting on Tuesday, as widely expected, while continuing its restrictive monetary policy of quantitative tightening. But the central bank made a marked shift in its statement, turning from a focus on inflation to one on growth with a decidedly ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada preview: A dovish tone with rate cuts on horizon
The Bank of Canada will almost certainly leave its policy rate unchanged when it meets this week, but the tone of its statement will shift to dovish as bank officials recognize easing inflation, the slowing labour market and stagnant growth. We expect that the central bank's first rate cut will occur ... READ MORE >
Canada’s unemployment rate surpasses 6% for the first time in over two years
To see why rate cuts are coming in Canada, look no further than the March job report. The unemployment rate reached 6.1%, surpassing 6% for the first time in over two years, according to Statistics Canada on Friday. While Canada has added more than 300,000 jobs over the past year, including a loss of ... READ MORE >
In global shift to renewable energy, Canada risks being left behind
Canada’s economy is facing a carbon emissions squeeze. Even as it makes progress in meeting its carbon reduction goals by 2030, Canada is not moving fast enough. To get there, Canada needs to vastly amplify investments in renewables to cut emissions while enabling economic growth. Failing to do so ... READ MORE >
How Legos can offer a lesson in addressing Canada’s housing crunch
Canada’s housing supply has faced chronic shortages in recent years as households and the economy are held back by a lack of available and affordable places to live. Many proposals have been offered, from overhauling regulations to bolstering financial incentives. But one factor often gets ... READ MORE >
February’s inflation in Canada makes case for rate cuts
Canada's consumer price index fell to 2.8% February, marking the second consecutive month of decline and bolstering the case for the Bank of Canada to cut rates. The decline wasn't limited to just the headline number. Core measures of inflation eased as well: Trimmed CPI, which excludes extreme price ... READ MORE >
Canada’s jobs report offers mixed messages on rates
February’s jobs report for Canada did little to sway the Bank of Canada’s likelihood to begin cutting rates in June. The data released on Friday continues to send mixed messages to those who make monetary policy, a recurring theme for the past six months as the economy hangs on but does not ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada maintains interest rate at 5%
The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate unchanged at 5% for the fifth time in a row as it continued to wait for inflation to further moderate. Canada is in the home stretch in its path to price stability. It will be a few more months before the first rate cut, which we expect to occur in June. There ... READ MORE >
Canadian economy grew by 1%, ending 2023 on a positive note
The Canadian economy seems to have bottomed out and be on the rebound, growing by 0.2% in the fourth quarter of last year and by 1% on an annualized basis, exceeding expectations. The growth gives the Bank of Canada time to see more sustained evidence of inflation moderation before cutting rates. ... READ MORE >