Monetary policy has reached a pivot point, bringing an increased probability for sustained growth and easing fears of a premature end to the business cycle. This improvement should underscore the positive outlook that will be featured in the Federal Open Market Committee’s Summary of Economic ... READ MORE >
USA
Manufacturing added jobs in May, but still shows signs of softening
While federal employment numbers released Friday show that U.S. manufacturing added jobs in May, the sector also continued a gradual softening, according to data released earlier this week by the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM’s Purchasing Managers Index, which gauges U.S. factory activity, ... READ MORE >
Health care sees steady growth and remains a job market powerhouse
Health care added 68,000 jobs in May, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report, while pushing up the three-month average to 66,000. One key factor to health care’s resilient job additions comes from the ambulatory services sector. Noteworthy data insights include the following: ... READ MORE >
5 things to know in life sciences: Week of June 3, 2024
Each week we highlight five things affecting the life sciences industry. Here's the latest. Biopharma research productivity increases Recent advancements in artificial intelligence are significantly enhancing research and development productivity by streamlining drug discovery processes, leading to ... READ MORE >
U.S. jobs report: Strong demand for labor continues its remarkable run in May
This economic commentary is dedicated to the memory of my friend the economics reporter Ben White. I shall miss talking economics, policy and baseball with him. Labor demand continues to increase at a remarkably strong pace, which removes the prospect of a July rate reduction and creates the sense that ... READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Dot plot to imply two rate cuts this year
We expect the Federal Open Market Committee to keep its policy rate unchanged between a rate of 5.25% and 5.5% at its meeting next week. But we anticipate that the median rate forecast implied by the dot plot will indicate that the committee now expects two rate cuts this year, for a cumulative rate ... READ MORE >
The case for rate cuts: Read our chief economist’s op-ed in Barron’s
With inflation coming under control around the world, major central banks have embarked on a shift in monetary policy to spur demand and foster economic growth, In the past two days, the Bank of Canada and European Central Bank kicked off this regime change with the announcements of 25 basis-point ... READ MORE >
Global central bank policy pivot continues as ECB cuts rate
The European Central Bank reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points on Thursday which, following the 25 basis-point rate reduction by the Bank of Canada on Wednesday, represents the first in what we expect will be a series of rate cuts by the G7 central banks this year. The moves in Europe and Canada ... READ MORE >
Job openings fall to the lowest level since February 2021
The labor market continued to cool at an encouraging pace as elevated interest rates weighed further on overall demand. Job openings fell to 8.06 million in April from a downwardly revised 8.36 million in the previous month, according to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday. The ... READ MORE >
Manufacturing activity slows in May
Softer manufacturing sentiment in May is within our expectations as elevated interest rates continue to weigh on overall goods demand. The Institute of Supply Management’s manufacturing index fell to 48.7 from 49.2, the lowest level in three months. Over a period of time, a reading above 48.7 indicates ... READ MORE >