There was little surprise in the Bank of Canada’s announcement on Wednesday when the central bank reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.5 per cent. The tone of the central bank's statement was notably dovish and marked a departure from a hawkish or cautionary tone that persisted over the past ... READ MORE >
Canada inflation
Canada’s CPI in June shows disinflation and suggests rate cut
June’s inflation report in Canada confirms that the economy is on a disinflationary trajectory as headline inflation dropped to 2.7% because of slower growth in gasoline prices. On a monthly basis, the consumer price index fell by 0.1% after a 0.6% increase in May. On a seasonally adjusted monthly ... READ MORE >
Canada’s economic outlook: The dawn of recovery
The Canadian economy will turn a corner toward recovery in the second half of the year, setting the stage for a true revival next year. Although Canada has managed to avoid a recession, the lack of growth has been discouraging as elevated interest rates have taken their toll. The good news is ... READ MORE >
Canada’s inflation rises to 2.9% but rate cut remains on the table
Disinflation will be the theme in the Canadian economy for the rest of the year, despite the inflation uptick in May. Inflation rose to 2.9 per cent on a year-over-year basis in May, with a 0.6 per cent monthly increase, Statistics Canada reported on Tuesday. Core inflation measures also rose slightly ... READ MORE >
Canada’s inflation fell to 2.7%, bolstering case for June rate cut
Canada's consumer price index report for April offers a clear message for the Bank of Canada: A rate cut in June is a no brainer. Headline inflation fell to 2.7 per cent, within the 1 per cent to 3 per cent range for the fourth month in a row and the lowest since early 2021, a full year before this ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada holds its rate at 5% in dovish statement
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 5% at its meeting on Tuesday, as widely expected, while continuing its restrictive monetary policy of quantitative tightening. But the central bank made a marked shift in its statement, turning from a focus on inflation to one on growth with a decidedly ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada preview: A dovish tone with rate cuts on horizon
The Bank of Canada will almost certainly leave its policy rate unchanged when it meets this week, but the tone of its statement will shift to dovish as bank officials recognize easing inflation, the slowing labour market and stagnant growth. We expect that the central bank's first rate cut will occur ... READ MORE >
February’s inflation in Canada makes case for rate cuts
Canada's consumer price index fell to 2.8% February, marking the second consecutive month of decline and bolstering the case for the Bank of Canada to cut rates. The decline wasn't limited to just the headline number. Core measures of inflation eased as well: Trimmed CPI, which excludes extreme price ... READ MORE >
Canada’s inflation excluding shelter hit target in January
Canada's consumer price index report for January brought good news for consumers, businesses and the Bank of Canada alike. CPI dropped to 2.9%, led by lower year-over-year figures in gasoline prices. On a monthly basis, prices stayed flat. Consumers breathed a sigh of relief as grocery prices grew ... READ MORE >
The case for the Bank of Canada to accelerate rate cuts
With restrictive financial conditions, high interest rates and still-elevated inflation, the Canadian economy has come to a standstill and is now at a tipping point. The Bank of Canada’s decisions over the next few months could influence whether the economy arrives at a soft landing or falls into a ... READ MORE >