While many are concerned that the economy is heading toward a recession, new data on spending and the labor market suggest otherwise. It's hard to bet against the American economy when the most recent data has surprised to the upside. Significant revisions to income and gross domestic product from 2020 ... READ MORE >
capital goods orders
Demand for business spending on equipment falls in July
Business spending on durable equipment did not start the third quarter on a strong note. Core capital goods orders, which exclude aircraft and defense spending and are a better proxy for short-term business investment in new equipment, decline by 0.1% in July. Shipments of core capital goods fell even ... READ MORE >
Slower growth raises prospect of a Fed rate cut
Economic growth appeared much softer in the first five months of the year following the release of key economic data on Thursday. Slower-than-anticipated growth should push the Federal Reserve closer to cutting interest rates. Read more of RSM's insights on the economy, manufacturing and the middle ... READ MORE >
Durable goods and jobless claims offer a mixed picture of the economy
The impact of elevated interest rates continued to show up in the business equipment spending data, which came in lower than expected in the Commerce Department's data released on Wednesday. Overall orders for durable goods fell by 5.4% in October, led by a 49.6% decline in nondefense aircraft because ... READ MORE >
Business equipment spending rebounds
Business orders for equipment rebounded in August after falling for two straight months, an encouraging sign for American businesses, which should look through the current economic headwinds to prepare for a soft-landing in the economy. Wednesday's data on the broader economy was in line with what our ... READ MORE >
Business investment loses momentum in July
Business spending on equipment eked out a slight gain in July in what was a disappointing start for the investment component of the economy in the third quarter. Jobless claims, however, defied expectations again, dropping last week to the lowest level in August. Orders for capital goods that ... READ MORE >
Durable goods orders decline amid rate hikes and geopolitical uncertainties
Durable goods orders declined for the first time in five months in February because of geopolitical uncertainties and the anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate hike since 2018. With multiple rate increases expected this year, we expect investment spending for the entire year to ... READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Signs of strength in durable goods orders
Durable goods orders fell by 0.4% in September after a strong gain of 1.3% in August, driven by transportation orders—vehicles and nondefense aircrafts—which declined by 2.3% on the month, according to Commerce Department data released Wednesday. But even with this decline in transportation orders, ... READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Durable goods orders surged by a surprising 1.8% in August
Helped by strong aircraft orders, durable goods orders in August rose by 1.8% on the month, easily beating analyst estimates of 0.7%, according to Commerce Department data released Monday. The increase in new orders was even more remarkable as July’s reading was revised upward to an increase of 0.5% ... READ MORE >
Data deluge: Jobless claims ease to 411,000 as durable goods orders rise 1.1%
First-time jobless claims eased to 411,000 for the week ending June 19, a slight decline from the revised figure of 418,000 for the previous week, according to government data released Thursday. The decline is indicative of what will be a long road to normalization in the pace of firings that ... READ MORE >