Several factors are fueling the dollar’s surge, including rising rate differentials, a global move to the dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions. … READ MORE >
dollar
Forecasting the dollar in a post-pandemic world
We expect that the value of the greenback will experience notable volatility with modest downward pressure, causing the dollar to decline in value against major trading currencies. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: The strengthening dollar as the recovery takes hold
We expect the real effective exchange rate of the greenback to advance in value against a trade-weighted basket of currencies as growth and interest rate differentials drive capital flows into the U.S. this year. … READ MORE >
Managing expectations of dollar strength during and after the pandemic
The greenback has increased 3.89% this year using the Fed’s broad trade-weighted index as our benchmark. Because of growing risks around the domestic management of the pandemic and increasing uncertainty around U.S. fiscal policy, we think that strength is at risk. … READ MORE >