The supply, demand and energy shocks cascading through the American economy are sufficient to cause an end to the business cycle over the next six months. … READ MORE >
federal funds rate
Changes in Fed policy and their impact on the economy
The Federal Reserve’s changes to short-term interest rates will affect the stock of money, which directly determines the direction of the real economy, output and employment. … READ MORE >
Fed announces largest rate hike in nearly three decades as it seeks to restore price stability
The Federal Reserve lifted its federal funds policy rate to a range between 1.5% and 1.75% on Wednesday as it moves to restore price stability over the medium term. … READ MORE >
Updated FOMC call: Fed to hike policy rate by 75 basis points
Based on movements inside the rate markets, quickly changing inflation expectations and a rattled investor class, we now expect the Federal Reserve on Wednesday to raise its policy rate by 75 basis points to a range between 1.25% and 1.50%. … READ MORE >
FOMC decision: Policy, price stability and balance sheet strategy
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday showed that it intends to achieve price stability, maximum sustainable employment and long-term growth despite the risk of a higher unemployment and a hard landing of the economy. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Rate hikes and balance sheet reduction are up next
Next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting will kick off an extraordinary two months of policy decisions by the Federal Reserve in which we expect the central bank to hike its policy rate by 100 basis points. … READ MORE >
FOMC meeting: Setting the stage for three rate hikes in 2022
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday set the stage for multiple increases in the federal funds policy rate next year by accelerating the tapering of asset purchases to $30 billion per month, up from $15 billion. The tapering should be wrapped up by March. … READ MORE >
FOMC: Fed policy to remain steady amid economic uncertainty
The Federal Open Market Committee on Thursday kept its policy rate steady at a range between zero and 25 basis points and made little meaningful change to its policy statement. … READ MORE >
Monetary policy and inflation in the modern era
By adopting a flexible average inflation target, the Fed is using its most important tool — forward guidance – to infuse confidence in investors and the general public that it will do all it can to sustain the economic recovery needed in the wake of the coronavirus. … READ MORE >
Monetary policy in an era of pandemic economics
The Fed has put together nine different lending facilities and put forward liquidity commitments that run in the trillions. While we expect the Federal Open Market Committee to restate its commitment to keeping short-term rates as low as possible for as long as necessary, there will be more policy innovation coming in the near term. … READ MORE >