The evolving oil shock has raised uncertainty in the economy, which will result in a period of risk management by the central bank. … READ MORE >
federal open market committee
Market Minute: Transmission of monetary policy to the real economy
When the fiscal authority is at odds with monetary authority, then the transmission mechanism starts to break down. … READ MORE >
Fed delivers hawkish cut, raising the bar for future reductions
The tone and tenor of the FOMC’s statement and remarks by Chairman Jerome Powell afterward substantially raised the bar for a rate cut in January. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Factions at the Fed as the fog begins to lift
Expect a contentious Fed meeting next week, with the central bank lowering its policy rate by 25 basis points. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s financial conditions and its monetary policy path
Policy rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve are in response to both countries’ economies absorbing adverse policy shocks along with a slowing pace of hiring and wage growth. … READ MORE >
Fed cuts its policy rate and sets end to quantitative tightening
The Federal Reserve reduced its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range between 3.75% and 4% on Wednesday while announcing an end to its runoff of its $6.58 trillion balance sheet by Dec. 1. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Fed to cut rates and signal more easing
We expect the FOMC to cut the federal funds policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 4.25% at its meeting on Sept. 17. … READ MORE >
The Fed holds rates steady as two board members dissent
The OMC held its policy rate in a range between 4.25% and 4.5% on Wednesday as it slightly opened the door to a rate cut this fall., … READ MORE >
The Fed holds rates steady, but its forecast has the whiff of stagflation
In holding the policy rate in a range between 4.25% and 4.5%, the Federal Open Market Committee also signaled the possibility of two rate cuts this year, … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Patience is a virtue for the Fed
Based on our own model and the central bank’s recent rhetoric, the Fed will be and should be in no hurry to cut rates given the risk around the economic outlook. … READ MORE >