Join RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and U.S. Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President Neil Bradley as they discuss the economic outlook for this new landscape and what middle market companies should anticipate. … READ MORE >
fiscal policy
R-star: The role of the natural rate of interest in monetary policy and economic growth
Known by economists as r-star, it has risen to a range between 1.75% and 2% in our estimation, a marked increase from the 0.5% that had prevailed over the previous 15 years. … READ MORE >
The pandemic response: Improving policies in future crises
Nearly three years into the pandemic, we can use the experience of these programs to understand what worked and be better prepared for the next health or financial crisis. … READ MORE >
Did fiscal spending go too far? Assessing the global economy.
Policymakers, firm managers and investors should anticipate a significant fiscal narrowing for both public and private actors in the post-pandemic period. … READ MORE >
Amid global economic turmoil, stress grips fixed-income markets
Fixed-income markets are signaling a shift in perceptions of financial stability and raising a caution flag for investors. … READ MORE >
In case of emergency break glass: Reviving the enhanced child tax credit to ease inflation
With a robust economy and tax revenues surging, policymakers can look at measures to mitigate further stress on lower-income households caused by rising food, fuel and goods prices. … READ MORE >
Looking ahead to 2022 and what to expect in the economy
As the economy approaches a full reopening, we expect that growth in 2022 will exceed 4%, the unemployment rate will fall to 3.5% and job growth will average roughly 230,000 per month. … READ MORE >
Economic update: GDP to grow above 7% this year as expansion takes hold
The American economy will continue to boom in the second half of the year following what we expect will be 7.8% growth through the first six months. … READ MORE >
Economics of the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan Act
The legislation will provide a robust tailwind to the domestic economy as it recovers from the pandemic and likely boost gross domestic product by an additional three percentage points. … READ MORE >
Flattening Phillips curve implies greater space to address economic needs
During the past few decades, as the economy has shifted from one based on manufacturing to one based on information and digital technologies, this traditionally inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation as shown in the Phillips curve has flattened. … READ MORE >