January was the worst month of the pandemic, with nearly 98,000 U.S. deaths attributed to COVID-19. Now, though, the totals are easing, with new cases receding to 151,000 per day by the end of January. … READ MORE >
fitted curve
Coronavirus update: Vaccination begins
The mass distribution of a coronavirus vaccine, which we expect to occur by mid-2021, will bolster economic activity in the second half of next year and set the stage for economic recovery and expansion over the next 12 to 24 months. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: More records to be broken as human toll mounts
A record 237,000 new cases were reported on Dec. 4 and a record 2,921 people died from the COVID-19 disease on Dec. 3, according to the Worldometers database. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: Ethical aspects of vaccinations
The successful release of one or more vaccines presents society with the issue of who gets vaccinated first and then the succeeding phases of distribution. This will challenge our society to the core. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: The beginning of the end
The number of potential coronavirus vaccines has increased to three with Oxford/AstraZeneca announcing on Monday that their technology is potentially 62% effective with two full doses and 90% effective if one gets a half a dose followed by a full dose. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: A worsening emergency, as seen in five charts
It took nine days for the novel coronavirus to infect another million people, growing from 10 million on Nov. 6 to 11 million on Nov. 15. At the current rate of spread, the RSM model shows a million new cases every five days. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: Constructing a plan for containment
A mathematician at MIT, Scott Sheffield, has outlined an alternative approach — and the math behind it — to our current course of dealing with the pandemic. It is designed “for a society that has resolved to keep future infections low in anticipation of a vaccine.” … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: Rushing toward a third peak
Coronavirus infections in the United States have surged to new highs over the past week as the long-awaited third peak of its spread arrived well before the onset of winter. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: The economic benefits of increased testing and tracing
As global cases of COVID-19 top 40 million and infections in the United States again breach 50,000 per day, the specter of a second wave in Europe and the United States hangs over the domestic economy. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus update: Regarding immunity and the severity of infection
A central riddle of the novel coronavirus is immunity: Can people become immune to infection? And does herd immunity work? … READ MORE >