Service inflation and rents, though, are still advancing a well above 4%, which in conjunction with slowing growth does not bode well for the economy … READ MORE >
interest rates
Solid labor demand persists as U.S. economy adds 151,000 jobs in February
The American economy added 151,000 jobs in February, a sign that demand for labor remains solid amid the significant policy changes in Washington. … READ MORE >
Another delay in U.S. tariffs—what does this mean for Canada?
U.S. tariffs on some Canadian goods were delayed, again, in a familiar-yet-concerning development in the ongoing trade dispute. This latest pause, which is in place until April 2, applies to tariffs on goods covered under the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA). Canada’s economic outlook remains clouded as tariff threats hang over … … READ MORE >
Market minute: Job growth, unemployment and federal contractors
We expect the U.S. jobs report for February to show a net increase in employment of 160,000 and an unemployment rate of 4%. … READ MORE >
Market minute: Goods deflation, food inflation and a lack of exemptions
Consumers face the possibility of double-digit increases in many grocery items given the quantity of fruit and vegetables imported from those two countries. … READ MORE >
U.S. tariffs and their impact on growth and inflation
While it is too early to quantify the tariffs’ overall impact, a rough estimate implies between a 0.5% and 0.75% drag on growth this year and a one-time 0.6% increase in prices. … READ MORE >
U.S. tariffs promise volatility, recession for Canada
Canada’s economic landscape is set to change dramatically as U.S. tariffs take effect. A recession is anticipated this year if all measures remain in place. … READ MORE >
Canada’s economy surged last quarter, but U.S. tariff threats cloud 2025 forecast
Canada’s economy showed promising growth in the last quarter of 2024 and is poised to have a robust 2025—provided U.S. tariffs don’t take effect. … READ MORE >
January PCE index: Strong income gains amid elevated inflation
Underlying inflation appears to have flattened out near 2.5% on an annual basis with service sector costs rising at a 3.4% rate. … READ MORE >
Market minute: Is the fight against PCE inflation like waiting for Godot?
The January PCE inflation report, to be released Friday, will most likely show a 0.3% top-line increase on the month and a 2.5% increase from one year ago. … READ MORE >