The mixed signals from data on job openings and the ISM manufacturing index, both released on Tuesday, offer a nuanced picture of the economy as the Federal Reserve transitions to a period to lower rates. During the transition of interest rates, not everything will go in the same direction. Elevated ... READ MORE >
ISM manufacturing index
Manufacturing sector declines at a slightly slower rate in August
The manufacturing sector contracted for the fifth month in a row with both production and new orders being a significant drag, according to the Institute for Supply Management's purchasing managers' index. Even though the Federal Reserve has signaled a policy pivot to lower interest rates, the sector ... READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector weakens in June
Manufacturing sentiment fell into contraction in June after only three months of barely growing, the Institute for Supply Management reported on Monday. As the Federal Reserve continues to hold interest rates at an elevated level, demand for manufacturing goods has been dampened for most of the ... READ MORE >
Job openings fall to a three-year low as manufacturing softens
Job openings in March plunged to 8.49 million, the lowest level in three years, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday. The drop was in line with our forecast that pointed to a cooling labor market where the imbalance between labor demand and supply is narrowing. Our two preferred ... READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector expands for the first time since September 2022
The manufacturing sector grew faster in March than expected on the heels of strong production activity and new orders, according to the Institute for Supply Management survey released on Monday. The March data, though, should not so much be seen as a sign of strength to come but rather as a catchup ... READ MORE >
Softer economic data helps ease inflation concerns
The softer data in manufacturing activities, construction spending and consumer sentiment at the beginning of the year should alleviate some of the recent concerns regarding the rebound in inflation. The manufacturing sector, as indicated by the ISM manufacturing index, has been in contraction mode for ... READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector in U.S. contracts in November
The manufacturing sector contracted for the second month in a row in November as lower overall demand and persistent labor shortages took their toll, the Institute for Supply Management reported on Friday. The overall index stayed unchanged at 46.7%, implying a decline. Any figure below 48.7% indicates ... READ MORE >
Job openings top estimates amid sharp drop in manufacturing
Job openings edged up in September as labor demand remained strong, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Wednesday. The manufacturing sector, according to a separate report from the Institute for Supply Management, declined at a faster rate than expected on falling employment and new ... READ MORE >
Manufacturing sentiment improves for the first time in nearly a year
The manufacturing sector in September expanded for the first time in 10 months on the heels of the strongest production growth since last summer, the Institute for Supply Management reported on Monday. We believe the sector has passed its bottom and is on an upward trend, given the tailwinds of higher ... READ MORE >
Contraction in manufacturing eased in August
The contraction in manufacturing sector eased in August, fueled by record spending on new plants in July. The data adds to signals that the manufacturing sector is nearing a bottom and that a rebound is not too far away. The manufacturing purchasing managers’ index rose to 47.6 in August, up from ... READ MORE >