The lag time between rate cuts and when those cuts are felt in the real economy is increasing, whether it’s in consumer spending or businesses taking on more risk. … READ MORE >
monetary policy
Fed cuts its policy rate a quarter point amid growing tension
It would not be surprising to see market players assume that the de-facto inflation target is moving higher, toward 3%. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada cuts interest rate to 2.5% amid economic, labour challenges
The Bank of Canada cut its key interest rate to 2.5 per cent as a slowing economy and rising unemployment likely contributed to the unexpected policy action. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Low rates, liquidity and leverage
On Wall Street, low rates, liquidity and leverage are the holy trinity of new finance. … READ MORE >
Inflation expectations and the credibility of Fed policy
Does the Fed have the credibility not only to cut its policy rate next week but also to reduce it further in the following months, to the long-run neutral rate of 3% without stoking inflation? … READ MORE >
Powell opens door to September cut as Fed shifts to a balanced 2% target
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday gave investors and policymakers the words that they wanted to hear on a possible September rate cut. … READ MORE >
The Fed holds rates steady as two board members dissent
The OMC held its policy rate in a range between 4.25% and 4.5% on Wednesday as it slightly opened the door to a rate cut this fall., … READ MORE >
Canada’s consumer price index steady due to cooling housing market
Canada’s consumer price index rose 1.7 per cent in May thanks to a more balanced housing market and smaller increases in travel prices. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada expectations for the second half of 2025
The Bank of Canada prioritizes price stability as a source of consistency and confidence in an uncertain environment. Here’s what to watch in the second half of 2025. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Canada’s trade diversification away from U.S. as tariff pain remains
Canada’s latest trade data provides an indicator of the diversification away from U.S. dollar-denominated assets as tariff tensions continue to simmer between the longtime trade partners. In March, Canada’s merchandise exports to countries other than the U.S. surged by 24.8 per cent on a month-over-month basis—the second-largest increase in recorded … … READ MORE >