The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index declined in March to 1.8 standard deviations below the levels of activity that would normally be expected, reflecting sluggish activity across the production sector in general and the problems at Boeing in particular. Only the Philadelphia region offered signs ... READ MORE >
Regional Federal Reserve banks
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Soft sentiment in an uneven recovery
The slowdown in manufacturing continued into February, but at a slower pace, according to surveys conducted by regional Federal Reserve banks. In fact, two of the five regions used in our analysis of regional manufacturing (Philadelphia and Dallas) reported overall positive responses. Three regions ... READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Slowdown even as jobs recover
Manufacturing continued to pull back in November, with the RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index remaining at 1.3 standard deviations below the level that would be considered normal. Although we think that the manufacturing sector has bottomed, any signs of an improvement have abated. A turn toward ... READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Financing costs and UAW strike take toll
Rising yields and the strike by the United Auto Workers contributed to a pullback in manufacturing in the United States into October, with the RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index slipping to 1.3 standard deviations below normal. Although it appears the end of the UAW strike is at hand pending votes ... READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Slowdown continues
Manufacturers across much of the United States reported slowing activity in June, according to surveys by regional Federal Reserve banks. The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index remained 1.7 standard deviations below normal, the 14th consecutive month of negative values. Our index is based ... READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Sour topline sentiment despite robust shipments
The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index showed modest improvement over the last month, likely due to a combination of easing oil and energy costs as well as improved external demand despite weaker domestic economic activity. Although current shipments remain robust, new orders moved lower, which implies ... READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows 35% probability of recession over next year
The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index declined into negative terrain in May, signaling the impact of high inflation, rising interest rates, the lockdowns in China and the war in Ukraine. While this decline does not imply that the manufacturing sector or the U.S. economy has fallen into a ... READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Omicron’s dampening effect
The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index receded again in January, providing another indication of the direct effect of the omicron variant on the business community and a sign of the eventual moderation of the post-crisis surge in growth. While the manufacturing sector continued to grow, the ... READ MORE >