England and the European Union had agreed to an 11-month window ending Dec. 31 to produce what would normally take years of trade negotiations. If those talks were to fail, then England will face tariffs imposed by the E.U., its largest trading partner, once it is pushed out. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index
The RSM Brexit Stress Index shoots up, reflecting coronavirus supply shock concern
Following the U.K.’s departure from the European Union a month ago, markets are bracing for a global health crisis and the accompanying supply shock. The RSM Brexit Stress Index — which measures financial and economic risk surrounding Britain’s departure from Europe’s common market – has shot up in the past two weeks from zero to 1.15 standard deviations above normal levels of implied stress. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index: Traders hedge their bets
One week into Brexit, the foreign exchange and fixed-income markets are showing signs of doubt and perhaps the beginning of a hedge on a bet that the government can quickly renegotiate its trade agreements with the world and that the British economy will be left better off. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index remains subdued
Stress in the British financial markets has remained subdued over the four weeks since the general election. The RSM Brexit Stress Index, which measures financial and economic risk surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European Union, started the new year at an insignificant 0.03 standard deviations above normal levels of implied stress, just slightly higher than last week’s 0.02 standard deviations below normal levels of stress. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index plunges as Johnson gains clear victory
Stress in the British financial markets plummeted as voters handed the Conservatives and Prime Minister Boris Johnson a clear victory on Thursday, signaling years of gridlock over Brexit … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index continues to ease
Stress in the British financial markets has been easing in the three weeks since the election announcement, continuing a holding pattern of sorts until there is more clarity on the political and economic fronts. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index eases on speculation of trade deal
Stress in the British financial markets eased during the week, as domestic political events took a back seat to global market pressure. The RSM Brexit Stress Index closed the week lower, at 0.67 standard deviations above normal levels of implied risk, down 0.14 from last week’s close at 0.81 standard deviations. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index ends tumultuous week slightly higher
The financial markets priced in a bit more volatility and risk to the enduring Brexit saga. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index eases after vote to delay Britain’s withdrawal from EU
Stress in the British financial markets continues to diminish along with the plausibility of the country extracting itself from the European Union common market by the Oct. 31 deadline. … READ MORE >
RSM Brexit Stress Index eases as Johnson secures deal
Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the European Union reached a Brexit deal in last minute talks on Thursday, giving reassurance to the foreign exchange market and a last minute boost to the equity market. But its passage is far from assured, with several immediate hurdles still to be overcome, including what is expected to be a close vote in Parliament on Saturday. … READ MORE >