The report showed a marked increase in long-term inflation expectations for the next five to 10 years, rising to 3.2% from 3.0% to reach the highest level since 2011. … READ MORE >
Tuan Nguyen
Canada added 41,400 jobs in April amid resilient labor market
The strong jobs report should get the attention of the Bank of Canada as it weighs its next move in June. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims post largest increase in six weeks
Initial jobless claims last week rose back up to 242,000 after a brief one-week drop, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Job openings fell in March as the labor market softened
Job openings fell to 9.6 million in March from almost 10 million in February, a clear sign that the labor market is softening as the economy slows down. … READ MORE >
Canadian recession tracker: Preparing for landing
A recession, albeit mild and brief, is most likely on the horizon. Our forecast puts the chance of a recession at 60% by the middle of the year, with the downturn hitting the economy unevenly. … READ MORE >
Business spending on equipment falls more than expected
Orders and shipments of core capital goods that exclude defense and aircraft spending, a key measure of private business investment, both fell by 0.4% in March. … READ MORE >
Consumer confidence drops to lowest level since July 2022
Consumer confidence in April dipped to the lowest level since last July, driven by the deterioration in economic expectations as recession concerns mount. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims rise amid labor market slowdowns
New claims, which are a proxy for layoffs, increased by 2.1% to 245,000 for the week ending April 15—about 12.9% higher than a year ago. … READ MORE >
Canadian inflation fell to lowest since August 2021
Canada’s inflation rate dropped to 4.3% in March on an annual basis from 5.4% in the prior month, driven largely by comparisons to the surging energy and food prices of a year ago. … READ MORE >
Lower-than-expected retail sales raise recession probability
Retail sales dropped for the second month in a row in March as demand for goods and food services continued to ease, suggesting the end of the business cycle. … READ MORE >