The manufacturing sector grew for the 30th month in a row but barely hovered above contraction in November, according to data released by the Institute for Supply Management on Thursday. The ISM’s overall index slowed to 49%, barely above the contraction threshold at 48.7%. It was the third straight ... READ MORE >
Tuan Nguyen
Spending holds strong as inflation moderates in October
Overall demand remained robust as holiday shopping kicked off in October, according to data on inflation, spending and income from the Bureau of Economic Analysis released on Thursday. Spending rose by 0.8% while income increased by 0.7%. After adjusting for inflation, real spending rose by 0.5% ... READ MORE >
Consumer confidence drops as outlook darkens
Consumer confidence fell for the second month in a row as inflation and recession fears dampened the economic outlook. The Conference Board's confidence index dipped to 100.2 in November from 102.2 in October, significantly below the pre-pandemic level of 130. Rising prices remained consumers' top ... READ MORE >
Durable goods spending and jobless claims rise
Durable goods orders and shipments posted sharp increases in October, defying recession fears, according to data from the Census Bureau on Wednesday. New orders rose by 1% in October, while core orders, which exclude transportation and defense, rose by 0.8%. Orders for capital goods, a proxy for ... READ MORE >
RSM US Supply Chain Index returns to pre-pandemic level
Amid the many challenges in today’s economy, there is a bright spot: Supply chains, after a period of severe disruption, are back to normal. Our RSM US Supply Chain Index pointed to supply efficiency for the fourth month in a row, reaching 0.49 standard deviations above neutral in October. That ... READ MORE >
Housing starts and initial jobless claims give Fed mixed signals
Builders continued to pull back on the supply of new houses in October amid sharp declines in demand as mortgage rates steepened, the Census Bureau reported on Thursday. The decline came as the labor market continued to show resilience, with initial jobless claims falling unexpectedly by 4,000 to ... READ MORE >
Retail sales surge, easing recession fears for now
Retail sales data surged in October as holiday shopping started early for the second year in a row. The strong month, which followed a flat month in September, suggested that, at least for now, a recession was not at hand. Sales grew by a stronger-than-expected 1.3% with broad-based increases. Nine of ... READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment falls as outlook worsens
The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index declined by a sharp 5.2 points to 54.7 in the first half of November, slightly above the all-time low in June at 50, according to survey data released Friday. Both sentiment over current conditions and future expectations deteriorated significantly, ... READ MORE >
When will inflation slow? Pay attention to housing.
A correction in the housing market as mortgage rates reach 20-year highs is underway. While overall price growth has cooled, though, the housing components inside the two inflation reports—the Consumer Price Index and the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index—have shown no signs of ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims inch down amid tight labor market
New filings for jobless benefits inched down by 1,000 last week from 218,000, remaining near their historical lows, according to government data released Thursday. With the data on job openings coming out hotter than expected this week, the imbalance between labor demand and supply continued to keep ... READ MORE >