U.S. jobs report

Revisions and noise push jobless rate down to 4.2%

Jul. 2, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

Take the June jobs report of 57,000 new hires with a grain of salt. Expect an upward revision to this figure when the July data is released. … READ MORE >

Market Minute: We expect a gain of 180,000 jobs in June

Jun. 30, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

The gains will be driven by health care, education, government, leisure and hospitality, as well as the goods-producing and construction sectors. … READ MORE >

American rite of spring: Strong job gains and falling wages

Jun. 5, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

Friday’s strong jobs report, which had a 4.3% unemployment rate and modest nominal wage growth, provided a fast-paced opening movement to that symphony that will be followed by a far more complex inflation report. … READ MORE >

Market Minute: Expect hiring to edge higher amid soft wage growth

Jun. 3, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

We are forecasting that the jobs report for May will show an increase of 95,000 new positions with risk of a quicker pace. … READ MORE >

In April jobs report, a solid, steady and stable labor market

May. 8, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

The economy added 115,000 jobs in April while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3%. … READ MORE >

Market Minute: U.S. April jobs report preview

May. 5, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

Our forecast for the U.S. employment report for April expects an increase of 60,000 jobs and the unemployment rate to stay at 4.3%. … READ MORE >

Hiring surged in March but the underlying trend was softer

Apr. 3, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

Methodological changes to the monthly estimate of the birth-death model have injected volatility into the data. … READ MORE >

Market Minute: U.S. March jobs report preview

Mar. 31, 2026 by Joseph Brusuelas

We expect the March employment report to show an increase of 60,000 jobs with risk of a modestly stronger print when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the data on Friday. … READ MORE >