As the American economy moves toward its full capacity to produce, the labor market continues to improve. First-time jobless claims fell to a fresh pandemic low of 385,000 for the week ending May 29, according to government data released on Thursday. … READ MORE >
unemployment
May jobs report preview: Seasonal adjustment challenges amid strong growth
We expect total employment to increase by 615,000 jobs when the jobs report for May is released on Friday, with the possibility of a strong month of growth because of what are diminished seasonal effects. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims set a new pandemic low
First-time jobless claims for the week ending May 22 declined to 406,000, a new pandemic-era low, putting them on track to breach the 400,000 level in the coming weeks and return to levels not seen since before the pandemic. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: First-time jobless claims continue to decline
First-time jobless claims continued their downward march for the week ending May 15, falling to 444,000, as new filings for federal Pandemic Unemployment Assistance declined to 95,086. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Unemployment insurance claims continue to fall
First-time claims for unemployment insurance benefits continue to move in the right direction, falling during the week ending May 8 to 473,000, or a drop of 34,000 in seasonally adjusted terms. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Estimating unemployment during the pandemic
Friday’s headline U3 unemployment rate of 6.1% for April is probably an undercount of the number of out-of-work people in the United States, not by design, but by the peculiar circumstances of the pandemic. … READ MORE >
U.S. employment report: Economy added a disappointing 266,000 jobs in April
An easing of commercial restrictions, mass vaccinations and pent-up demand racing ahead of the overall reopening of the economy bolstered hiring in April to the tune of 266,000 jobs as the unemployment rate increased to 6.1%, according to government data released Friday. … READ MORE >
Jobless claims: More good news from the labor market
First-time jobless claims declined to 498,000 for the week of May 1 from an upwardly revised 590,000 during the previous week as continuing claims remained elevated at 3.69 million, according to government data released Thursday. … READ MORE >
Employment report preview: Expect a gain of 1.4 million jobs in April
With nearly 150 million Americans having received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, we expect a net increase in employment of roughly 1.4 million jobs in April, with risk of a much larger gain in private-sector employment. We expect the unemployment rate to fall to 5.7%. … READ MORE >
March employment preview: Expect a gain of 1 million jobs
We expect a net increase in total employment of 1 million, with risk of a much larger gain, and a decline in the unemployment rate to 5.8% when the March jobs report is released on Friday. … READ MORE >