New home sales fell below estimates in April as mortgage rates surged to above 7%, the Census Bureau reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Forecasts show softer April PCE inflation
We think the top-line PCE inflation will most likely come in at 0.25% for April, down from 0.30% in March, while the core index will slow to 0.26% from 0.30%. … READ MORE >
Soft housing and manufacturing data fuels prospect of rate cut
Economic data on housing, manufacturing and jobs released on Thursday pointed to softer-than-expected economic activity in the second quarter. … READ MORE >
CPI resumes disinflationary trend in April amid weakened retail sales
Overall CPI inflation rose by 0.3% in April, while core inflation—which excludes food and energy—also rose by 0.3%. This helped bring the year-over-year headline inflation down to 3.4% and core inflation to 3.6%. … READ MORE >
Producer price offers mixed result ahead of CPI release
The producer price index increased by 0.5% in April, above estimates, as both goods and service prices accelerated, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released on Tuesday. … READ MORE >
Interest rate volatility: Why Fed policy guidance is less effective
The past year has had significant volatility in financial markets, with dramatic shifts in the 10-year yield and multiple resets in market expectations for interest rate paths. … READ MORE >
U.S. consumer sentiment plunges on rising inflation
Inflation expectations rose sharply to 3.5% from 3.2% for the next 12 months while longer-term expectations inched up to 3.1% from 3.0%. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims rise to the highest level since August
Our preferred metric of new claims—the 13-week moving average—rose slightly to 211,000, still below the pre-pandemic level. … READ MORE >
Senior Loan Officer Survey: Progress halts as inflation rebounds in Q1
Progress toward normalized lending practices generally halted in the first quarter as the Federal Reserve turned more hawkish amid the rebound in inflation, according to data in a Fed report announced on Monday. … READ MORE >
Labor data shows economic strength as inflation concerns linger
Despite a slowdown in productivity and rising labor unit costs, the economy continues to show strength with initial jobless claims staying near recent lows and factory orders posting solid growth. … READ MORE >