Initial jobless claims dropped to 216,000 last week, the fewest since February, as the labor market remained tight, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. New claims remained far below the threshold of 250,000 that we see as signaling a recession, raising the chance that the cooling ... READ MORE >
Service sector growth in U.S. reaches a six-month high
The service sector in the United States grew faster in August on the heels of a surge in summer spending, the Institute for Supply Management reported on Wednesday. The service composite index rose to 54.5 from 52.7, marking the highest level since February. The increase was broad-based as the main ... READ MORE >
Contraction in manufacturing eased in August
The contraction in manufacturing sector eased in August, fueled by record spending on new plants in July. The data adds to signals that the manufacturing sector is nearing a bottom and that a rebound is not too far away. The manufacturing purchasing managers’ index rose to 47.6 in August, up from ... READ MORE >
Personal spending grows hot in July as inflation stabilizes
American consumers remained in a position of strength on spending and income growth this summer as inflation stabilized further and the labor market stayed resilient. July's personal spending surged by 0.8% while personal income grew by 0.2%, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Thursday. With ... READ MORE >
Job openings drop to lowest in more than two years
Job openings fell to 8.8 million in July, staying under 9 million for the first time since March 2021, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday. The sharp drop was a surprise as the consensus forecast had pointed to only a slight decline to 9.5 million. June's number was also revised ... READ MORE >
Business investment loses momentum in July
Business spending on equipment eked out a slight gain in July in what was a disappointing start for the investment component of the economy in the third quarter. Jobless claims, however, defied expectations again, dropping last week to the lowest level in August. Orders for capital goods that ... READ MORE >
New home sales remain bright spot in housing, rising on strong supply
New home sales remain a bright spot in a housing market that has cooled amid the surge in mortgage rates. Sales of new homes increased by 4.4% in July to 714,000, according to Commerce Department data released on Wednesday. The rebound in new home sales has continued for more than a year with July's ... READ MORE >
Existing home sales fall near January low as rates surge
Sales of existing homes fell in back-to-back months as multi-decade high mortgage rates continued to suppress demand and supply. The data from the National Association of Realtors certainly added more risks to our call that a housing bottom has passed. Read more of RSM's insights on the real estate ... READ MORE >
Industrial production and housing rebound in July, affirming GDP growth outlook
Industrial production, housing starts and permits in July have set the tone for a robust third quarter, as GDP growth is expected to be stronger than the long-run level of 1.8%. Industrial production rose 1% on the month, while housing starts and permits rose 3.9% and 0.1%, respectively, according to ... READ MORE >
Robust retail sales data in July raises Q3 GDP forecast
American consumers continued to show a robust spending appetite in July as sales from retail and food services came in much hotter than expected. Total sales rose 0.7% on the month, much higher than the 0.4% forecasted and was the fourth consecutive increase since April. The control group, which ... READ MORE >