For the week ending June 20, 1.48 million people filed for first-time jobless claims, while 19.52 million filed continuing claims, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Blog
After suffering losses, health care providers could face a reckoning on debt covenants
On June 30, the financial results from health care providers with publicly traded bonds will be measured, providing a window into their financial condition and whether the providers that took on debt to fuel their growth will be able to meet their bond covenants. … READ MORE >
Miles away: U.S. airports face heavy lift and slow recovery
The COVID-19 pandemic and resulting shelter-in-place protocols have devastated the airline industry. Along with it, airports across the country, rife with retail, have suffered significant losses.
As cancellations of business trips and vacations mounted beginning with the onset of the outbreak in mid-March, traffic from travelers plummeted. The Transportation Safety Administration reported that throughput fell to approximately 100,000 people per day by the first week of April, down from almost 2.2 million daily a month earlier. … READ MORE >
RSM monthly GDP index: Negative real growth continues into the second quarter
The RSM monthly index of real GDP growth that turned negative in March has now dropped below levels recorded during the financial crisis and Great Recession of 2007-9. … READ MORE >
The case for active investing has grown stronger recently, but can it last?
For much of the past decade, equity markets enjoyed a bull market that was accompanied by the rise in popularity and the outperformance of passive investment strategies. Then the coronavirus hit. As markets plunged in March, the case for actively managed investments grew stronger as those funds performed better than passively managed funds … READ MORE >
Will yields rise due to increased issuance of Treasury bonds? Let’s get the elephant out of the room!
Apprehension expressed by economic and financial pundits about potential runaway inflation and higher interest rates in the wake of the U.S. Treasury’s recent issuance of bonds is high. Our assessment of both the economic and policy paths strongly implies hat these worries will not become actualized in the near term. … READ MORE >
A spring unlike any other: Ground rules for reopening
Thirty states have coronavirus reproduction rates of greater than one (R>1), meaning that each infected person is expected to spread the virus to more than one other person. This implies that the timing of reopening the economy may have been premature and the rules framing that reopening may have involved … … READ MORE >
RSM’s Joe Brusuelas decodes the Fed’s new Main Street Lending Program
The Federal Reserve launched a new program on Monday to provide bridge financing to midsize firms that have been hurt by the COVID-19 pandemic. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims are still six times higher than normal
We can add another 1.5 million Americans to the ranks of the newly unemployed. Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 13 are six times higher than the five-year average of 240,000 prior to the coronavirus pandemic. And in the 13 weeks since the shutdown of the economy, state … … READ MORE >
Weekly initial jobless claims: Much-needed context as claims rise by 1.5 million
While the pace of first-time jobless claims has declined over the past few weeks, such an improvement is still akin to saying someone has turned down the heat in hell. It is clear that the U.S. labor market remains impaired as first-time jobless claims increased by 1.5 million for the week ending June 13, and continuing claims advanced by 20.5 million. This is the thirteenth straight week in which claims have increased by more than one million. … READ MORE >