This is the third of four articles examining monetary and fiscal policy and the Federal Reserve’s response to the most significant issues of today’s economy. The first article examines the Fed’s challenge in meeting its mandate for full employment. The second looks at the Fed’s other mandate, for price ... READ MORE >
Coronavirus
Chart of the day: Existing home sales fall 4.6%
Existing home sales in the United States cooled off significantly in December, dropping 4.6% on the month to 6.18 million amid near-record housing prices and supply constraints, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors on Thursday. Still, 2021 was a record year for the housing ... READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims reach 13-week high amid omicron variant’s surge
New filings for jobless benefits last week jumped to 286,000, the second sharp increase in a row from 231,000 the week before as the surge in omicron cases led to temporary layoffs across the country, according to government data released Thursday. Despite a tight labor market where companies are ... READ MORE >
Canada inflation highest since 1991 as supply chain disruptions continue
Canada’s consumer price index hit 4.8% in December, the highest since 1991 as supply chain disruptions continued, according to data released by Statistics Canada on Wednesday. The inflation is driven by supply chain disruptions, pent-up demand and inflation expectations. While pent-up demand is ... READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Housing starts and permits end year with upside surprises
The housing market ended the year on a strong note as housing starts and permits rose unexpectedly in December, beating estimates of potential declines. Most of the monthly gains came from sharp increases in multifamily homes, a sign of strong confidence among builders—which was in line with data from ... READ MORE >
Housing starts in Canada fall as materials remain in short supply
Canada’s housing starts in December fell to 236,100, a drop of 22.3% from November because of material shortages following the floods and landslides in British Columbia that kept construction materials stranded at the Port of Vancouver, according to data released by the Canada Mortgage and Housing ... READ MORE >
RSM US Supply Chain Index: The worst may have passed, but choppy waters remain
The strength of the supply chain in the United States showed significant improvement for a second straight month in December after reaching a two-decade low in October, according to the newest data from the RSM US Supply Chain Index. The index rose 24% on the month to 3.12 standard deviations below ... READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Industrial production inched down in December
The omicron variant’s spread put pressure on industrial production in December as production declined by 0.1%, missing the estimate of a 0.2% increase on the month, according to data from the Federal Reserve on Friday. The unexpected decline was mostly offset by an upward revision of 0.2 percentage ... READ MORE >
RSM US Financial Conditions Index: A move toward normal
After nearly two years of extreme accommodation in the financial markets, the RSM US Financial Conditions index stands at 0.96 standard deviations above neutral—a decline from the elevated levels during the pandemic and a sign that markets are starting to price in more risk. The index’s more modest ... READ MORE >
U.S. retail sales decline despite a strong holiday season
Price pressures and continued labor shortages magnified by the rapid spread of the omicron variant drove retail sales down by a disappointing 1.9% in December. The decline on the month came despite a strong holiday shopping season, when many consumers heeded warnings about depleted inventories and made ... READ MORE >