The American economy will continue to boom in the second half of the year following what we expect will be 7.8% growth through the first six months. … READ MORE >
Coronavirus
June jobs report: Let the good times roll
The U.S. economy generated a robust 850,000 jobs in June while at the same time the unemployment rate advanced to 5.9% amid an increase of 151,602 workers in the labor force, according to government data released Friday. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims resume their downward trend, falling to 364,000
Initial jobless claims declined to 364,000 for the week ending June 26, resuming their downward trend following a few weeks of flat to down readings. … READ MORE >
RSM Manufacturing Outlook Index: New orders, sales and sentiment imply economic expansion has begun
Surveys of manufacturers conducted by six regional Federal Reserve banks reflect robust confidence in the outlook for manufacturing, despite being tempered by supply chain bottlenecks and price increases. … READ MORE >
RSM UK Financial Conditions Index: A milestone after 7 years of stress
Despite the public health risks around the delta variant, financial conditions imply rising risk appetite and are supportive of growth as the economy enters the third quarter of 2021. … READ MORE >
U.S. June employment report: Look for robust hiring above 750,000
The June employment report will likely reflect a surge in hiring to prepare for what will be a monumental release of pent-up demand for services over the next three months. … READ MORE >
RSM Canada Financial Conditions Index: Accommodation to continue while economy shows signs of revitalization
The RSM Canada Financial Conditions Index continues to indicate reduced levels of risk being priced into the commodity, equity, bond and money markets. … READ MORE >
May personal income and spending: Weak top line, but data looks better beyond the noise
Although personal income declined by 2% in May and personal spending was flat, according to government data released Friday, one has to look beyond the noise associated with the significant fiscal firepower unleashed early this year to understand this improvement. … READ MORE >
Data deluge: Jobless claims ease to 411,000 as durable goods orders rise 1.1%
First-time jobless claims eased to 411,000 for the week ending June 19, a slight decline from the revised figure of 418,000 for the previous week, according to government data released on Thursday. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Fed projects U.S. will reach pre-pandemic goals by end of 2022
The Federal Open Market Committee’s projections that the economy will be back on track and meeting pre-pandemic expectations by the end of 2022 should play a role in resetting interest rate expectations by professional investors and firm managers over the next 18 months. … READ MORE >