The war in Ukraine, the cutoff of Russian exports and the possible removal of roughly 4.3 million barrels of crude from U.S. and European markets are likely to have a harmful impact on household balance sheets. … READ MORE >
Economics
Chart of the day: Job openings surpass 11 million in back-to-back months
The scramble by employers to find workers continued amid a historically tight labor market in January, as employers reported 11.3 million job openings for the month. … READ MORE >
Chart of the day: U.S. trade deficit nears $90 billion, a record
The United States trade deficit reached a record high in January as strong domestic demand continued to push imports higher, especially oil, while exports were dampened by the omicron surge which shut down production and limited travel. … READ MORE >
As global tensions rise, RSM US Financial Conditions Index deteriorates
Our composite RSM U.S. Financial Conditions Index is falling, reaching nearly one standard deviation below zero as the situation in Ukraine continues to threaten trade and global financial stability. … READ MORE >
Energy shock will hit low-income Americans the hardest
Despite such a significant price shock, the Federal Reserve should not overreact by hiking interest rates aggressively because the spillovers from higher energy prices on core goods and services will most likely be relatively small and fade quickly. … READ MORE >
U.S. February jobs report: Bittersweet symphony as employment rises by 678,000
Despite a net increase in total employment of 678,000 and a decline in the unemployment rate to 3.8% in February, the improvement in the American labor market is now in the rear-view mirror as the impact of geopolitical tensions and inflation sets in. … READ MORE >
The impact of an energy shock on Canada’s economy
Although high oil and gas prices had been good news for the Canadian economy over the past few decades, this time is different. … READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Wholesale gas prices Imply 10.4% Increase at the pump
Geopolitical tensions linked to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have roiled oil markets around the world. The global Brent crude benchmark has traded around $115 per barrel and the domestic West Texas Intermediate benchmark stood at $112. A year ago, those prices hovered around $60. The elevated levels translate into rising … … READ MORE >
Defense technology: Emerging trends from the fourth quarter
A roundup of key themes that emerged from fourth-quarter earnings calls in the defense technology industry. … READ MORE >
Service sector moderated amid rising prices and labor crunch
The service sector registered slower growth in February as inflation and labor shortages remained top concerns, according to a report from the Institute for Supply Management on Thursday. … READ MORE >