The consumer price index increased at a robust rate in February for the second month in a row though this increase was not a surprise given the recent rise in gasoline prices, and, more importantly, the noise in housing inflation data. The top-line and core CPI numbers both grew at 0.4% on the ... READ MORE >
Economics
Should the U.S. ban imports of Chinese electric vehicles?
The Biden administration recently ordered an investigation into the national security threat posed by Chinese connected-vehicle technology. The outcome, if taken to an extreme, could result in a ban on the import of Chinese vehicles into the United States. But there is much more driving the ... READ MORE >
Canada’s jobs report offers mixed messages on rates
February’s jobs report for Canada did little to sway the Bank of Canada’s likelihood to begin cutting rates in June. The data released on Friday continues to send mixed messages to those who make monetary policy, a recurring theme for the past six months as the economy hangs on but does not ... READ MORE >
U.S. employment report: Robust hiring continued in February
Sustained demand for labor in the American economy was on vivid display on Friday as the Labor Department reported that 275,000 jobs were created in February. The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised down its initial estimate of the January jobs report from 353,000 jobs created to 229,000 and the ... READ MORE >
Bank of Canada maintains interest rate at 5%
The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate unchanged at 5% for the fifth time in a row as it continued to wait for inflation to further moderate. Canada is in the home stretch in its path to price stability. It will be a few more months before the first rate cut, which we expect to occur in June. There ... READ MORE >
Job openings inch down as economy stays on track for a soft landing
While the job openings data released on Wednesday continued to show a tight labor market in January, it remained on a downward trend toward normalization. Job openings cooled in back-to-back months to 8.86 million in January with December's figure revised down to 8.89 million from 9.03 million ... READ MORE >
Service sector continues to grow in February
The service sector continued to grow in February for the 14th straight month, according to the Institute for Supply Management on Tuesday. While the overall service index pointed to a slightly slower February, falling to 52.6 from 53.4, the subindexes for business activity and new orders registered ... READ MORE >
Canadian economy grew by 1%, ending 2023 on a positive note
The Canadian economy seems to have bottomed out and be on the rebound, growing by 0.2% in the fourth quarter of last year and by 1% on an annualized basis, exceeding expectations. The growth gives the Bank of Canada time to see more sustained evidence of inflation moderation before cutting rates. ... READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Soft sentiment in an uneven recovery
The slowdown in manufacturing continued into February, but at a slower pace, according to surveys conducted by regional Federal Reserve banks. In fact, two of the five regions used in our analysis of regional manufacturing (Philadelphia and Dallas) reported overall positive responses. Three regions ... READ MORE >
January inflation and spending data implies more noise than trend
The Federal Reserve's closely watched measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures index, continued to show strength in January, rising by 0.3% on the month and by 2.4% from a year ago. We are not too worried about the strong inflation print because of all the seasonal factors involved. ... READ MORE >