Stagnant global growth amid a structural economic shift demand a policy response by central banks still attempting to restore price stability. … READ MORE >
Economics
Forecasts show softer April PCE inflation
We think the top-line PCE inflation will most likely come in at 0.25% for April, down from 0.30% in March, while the core index will slow to 0.26% from 0.30%. … READ MORE >
Soft housing and manufacturing data fuels prospect of rate cut
Economic data on housing, manufacturing and jobs released on Thursday pointed to softer-than-expected economic activity in the second quarter. … READ MORE >
CPI resumes disinflationary trend in April amid weakened retail sales
Overall CPI inflation rose by 0.3% in April, while core inflation—which excludes food and energy—also rose by 0.3%. This helped bring the year-over-year headline inflation down to 3.4% and core inflation to 3.6%. … READ MORE >
Producer price offers mixed result ahead of CPI release
The producer price index increased by 0.5% in April, above estimates, as both goods and service prices accelerated, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released on Tuesday. … READ MORE >
Interest rate volatility: Why Fed policy guidance is less effective
The past year has had significant volatility in financial markets, with dramatic shifts in the 10-year yield and multiple resets in market expectations for interest rate paths. … READ MORE >
How Canada can improve its lagging productivity
Increasing investments in innovation and technology, as well as in the workforce, to harness the power of technology can help raise Canada’s productivity. … READ MORE >
Intervening in foreign exchange markets: The poverty of dollar devaluation
We think intervening to devalue the dollar would be folly. In the end, the result would be upward pressure on prices, reduced demand and, ultimately, a slowing economy. … READ MORE >
U.S. consumer sentiment plunges on rising inflation
Inflation expectations rose sharply to 3.5% from 3.2% for the next 12 months while longer-term expectations inched up to 3.1% from 3.0%. … READ MORE >
Canadian economy showed resilience in April, adding 90,400 jobs
While the stronger-than expected job report released on Friday speaks to the resilience of the Canadian economy, the long-term trend is an undeniable weakening in the job market. … READ MORE >