New claims for jobless benefits fell by 5.3% to 214,000, below the pre-pandemic average in 2019 as layoffs remain historically low. … READ MORE >
Economics
U.S. housing starts continue to fall amid rate hikes
New housing starts fell by 8.1% in September as the impact of rising mortgage rates worked through the housing market. … READ MORE >
Canada’s inflation refuses to cool
Canada’s CPI rose by 6.9% on a year-over-year basis, slightly down from 7% in August, continuing a three-month streak of decline. … READ MORE >
End of an era? Bond market selloff prompts a new regime
The dramatic fiscal and monetary response to the pandemic has elicited a structural break in globalization, growth and liquidity regimes that have driven the world’s economies over the past 25 years. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment rises despite worsening inflation expectations
Consumer sentiment rose for the fifth straight month to 59.8 in October but a worsening inflation outlook clouded the otherwise positive news. … READ MORE >
Retail sales stay flat as inflation remains elevated
American consumer spending was unchanged in September, held back mainly by auto and gasoline sales as prices at the pump and auto dealers fell on the month. … READ MORE >
As the U.S. dollar surges, the potential for a currency crisis grows
As central bankers and fiscal authorities seek to balance growth, inflation and financial stability, there is a growing possibility that we are walking into another financial crisis. … READ MORE >
Inflation remains hot, sticky and elevated, implying another supersized rate hike
Both top-line and core inflation remain hot, sticky and elevated, which implies another rate increase of 75 basis points at the Fed’s November meeting. … READ MORE >
RSM UK Financial Conditions Index implies rising risk of instability
The RSM UK Financial Conditions Index is warning of a dramatic increase in credit risk that, along with the depreciation of sterling, has the potential to derail commercial activity. … READ MORE >
Producer prices rebound, keeping pressure on Fed to raise rates
The producer price index rose by 0.4% in September after falling for two straight months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Wednesday. … READ MORE >