Tariffs, or import taxes, are inherently regressive, as lower-income households spend a greater proportion of their earnings on day-to-day expenses. … READ MORE >
Economics
U.S. retail sales continued to grow in December
American consumers ended the year on a strong note, with total retail sales rising by 0.4%, … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: Regime change and financial conditions
Secular stagnation that for years featured low inflation, low interest rates and plentiful capital has been replaced by competition for capital, higher inflation and higher interest rates. … READ MORE >
Inflation improvement stalled in December ahead of price increases
The CPI data affirmed the growing inclination at the Fed that any further rate cuts—if there are any at all this year— should be postponed until the second half of the year. … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: The tax over policy uncertainty is rising
Volatility across asset markets has been rising as investors adjust to changes in fiscal, trade and financial policies. Will this volatility spill into the real economy? … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: Emerging market currencies at risk of depreciation
Economies with inadequate capital buffers, economic imbalances featuring large import volumes or those with weak financial systems will be at risk to larger-than-anticipated currency depreciations. … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: Tariffs, supply chain pressures and inflation
There is a link between disruptions to the flow of trade and durable goods inflation. … READ MORE >
Canada’s jobs report exceeds expectations for December
Canada’s jobs report for December exceeded expectations in several ways, a credit to a resilient economy poised to grow as more rate cuts are expected. But the risks of tariffs and trade tension affecting the growth and recovery outlook cannot be ignored. … READ MORE >
American exceptionalism: Job gains of 256,000 to temper calls for further rate cuts
The American economy remains at full employment and will remain tight for the near future, which should temper calls for the Federal Reserve to cut rates further. … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: Net immigration, population growth and U.S. employment
This influx of immigrants is one of many reasons why the U.S. economy has grown by nearly 3% over the past two years. … READ MORE >