Although a blanket tariff by the U.S. on all Canadian imports is unlikely to materialize in the first half of 2025, there is still cause for concern as selective U.S. tariffs are possible and would be disruptive to both countries’ economies. To illustrate this, look at energy and auto manufacturing — Canada’s industries with the highest exports to the U.S. … READ MORE >
Industrials
Durable goods orders were mixed in October as Q3 GDP remained strong
Business spending on equipment was mixed in October, likely because of uncertainty over the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, the Commerce Department reported on Wednesday. … READ MORE >
To contend with higher tariffs, businesses need to act now
Higher tariffs are likely over the next few years. In our estimation, firms do not have the luxury to wait and see how the policy changes turn out. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing and labor markets give mixed signals amid Fed’s pivot
The ISM manufacturing index for September stayed unchanged at 47.2, indicating a contraction of overall activity for the sixth consecutive month. … READ MORE >
Robust economic revisions defy recession doubts
Significant revisions to income and gross domestic product from 2020 through last year help explain why the market underestimated the continuing robust economic rebound. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector jobs dipped in August
The manufacturing sector lost 24,000 jobs in August, following an upward-adjusted addition of 6,000 in July, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector declines at a slightly slower rate in August
A result of the slowdown was another month of employment declines, though at a slower pace at 46 compared to 43.4 in the prior month. … READ MORE >
Demand for business spending on equipment falls in July
Core capital goods orders, which exclude aircraft and defense spending, posted a 0.1% decline in July. … READ MORE >
Manufacturing sector weakens in June
As the Federal Reserve continues to hold rates at an elevated level, demand for manufacturing goods has been dampened for most of the year. … READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Malaise continues in June
The best that can be said about manufacturing activity in five regional Federal Reserve banks is that it has moved more-or-less sideways over the past three months. … READ MORE >