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RSM Brexit Stress Index eases as general election draws closer

Dec. 6, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

Stress in the UK financial markets continued to ease as the general election draws closer. The RSM Brexit Stress Index, which measures financial and economic risk surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European Union, closed the week at 0.29 standard deviations above normal levels of implied stress. It marked the lowest level of risk in what ... READ MORE >

Brexit stress gets reprieve due to Supreme Court ruling

Sep. 27, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index eased slightly during the week, as Britain’s Supreme Court ordered the resumption of Parliament and restored some sort of order to the Brexit chaos. The composite index, which measures financial-market stress surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European Union, closed the week at 1.20 standard deviations above ... READ MORE >

The RSM Brexit Stress Index: Reacting to a Parliamentary dose of recession prevention

Sep. 6, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index surged sharply during the week amid attempts by Boris Johnson, the Conservative Party prime minister, to curtail objections to a no-deal Brexit but eased at week’s end as Parliament regained control of government. The index rose as high as 1.97 standard deviations above normal at midweek, its highest level since the June 2016 ... READ MORE >

RSM Brexit Stress Index: Factoring in longer-term issues

Aug. 23, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index ended higher again this week on increased volatility. The composite index, which measures economic stress surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European Union, closed at 1.74 on Friday from 1.64 a week ago. The foreign exchange market remains focused on Germany’s manufacturing recession and the direction of ... READ MORE >

The RSM Brexit Stress Index moves up amid global financial backlash and domestic slowdown

Aug. 9, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index moved up again this week, showing significantly higher levels of stress after the United States escalated its trade war with China and the Chinese renminbi was devalued against the U.S. dollar, causing upheaval in the global markets. The composite index, which measures economic stress surrounding Britain’s impending departure ... READ MORE >

The RSM Brexit Stress Index: Pound’s decline signals rising concern

Aug. 2, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index rose sharply in the week, signaling significant worry in the market following depreciation of the British pound that will result in higher costs for food, fuel and other consumer staples for U.K. residents. The composite index, which measures economic stress surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European Union, ... READ MORE >

The RSM Brexit Stress Index: Increased volatility and higher stress as pro-Brexit PM takes Britain’s helm

Jul. 26, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index moved higher this week on increased currency market volatility and sobering economic news from the U.K.’s trading partners as Boris Johnson, the pro-Brexit Conservative Party candidate, was elected prime minister. The composite index, which measures economic stress surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European ... READ MORE >

The RSM Brexit Stress Index: Adding to the list of unintended consequences

Jul. 12, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index moved higher again this week, as the market processed conflicting central banking trends: global equities pushed higher on an expected U.S. rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a quick turnaround in the U.K. bond market as the slim probability of a base rate cut by the Bank of England grew even smaller. The composite index, ... READ MORE >

Tug-of-(Trade)-War: RSM Brexit Stress Index eases for week

Jul. 5, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

The RSM Brexit Stress Index eased this week, as global equity markets pushed higher on news of a rapprochement among the parties in the U.S.-China trade war and anticipation of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The composite index—which measures economic stress surrounding Britain’s impending departure from the European Union—fell to 0.16 at ... READ MORE >

The RSM Brexit Stress Index: Lower highs and lower lows

Jun. 28, 2019 by Joseph Brusuelas

brexitindex_6282019

The RSM Brexit Stress Index closed slightly higher this week, as political talk centers on whether Boris Johnson, the Conservative Party front runner favored to take over as U.K. Prime Minister, can make good on his promise of removing Britain from the European Union with or without a deal. The index edged up to 0.26 on Friday from 0.23 a week earlier, ... READ MORE >

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About The Real Economy Blog

The Real Economy Blog from RSM US LLP was developed to provide timely economic insights about the middle market economy. It is offered as a complement to RSM’s macroeconomic thought leadership, including The Real Economy monthly publication and the proprietary RSM US Middle Market Business Index (MMBI).

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