A recession, albeit mild and brief, is most likely on the horizon. Our forecast puts the chance of a recession at 60% by the middle of the year, with the downturn hitting the economy unevenly. … READ MORE >
Canadian economy
RSM’s economic outlook for Canada in eight charts
While the Canadian economy may avoid a recession next year, we expect growth will slow below 1% over the next few quarters, well below its long-term capacity. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada announces smaller-than-expected 50-basis-point hike
Reasons for increasing interest rates are plentiful amid strong core inflation, high inflation expectations, a tight labor market, and excess demand in the economy. … READ MORE >
After a strong recovery in Canada, economic headwinds set in
The Canadian economy has had a year of robust recovery, but now that growth is slowing as economic headwinds set in. … READ MORE >
Our economic outlook for Canada in 2022
We see a Canadian economy growing around 4% on the year, inflation hitting 5% before easing to 2% by year’s end, and the unemployment rate declining to just above 6%. … READ MORE >
CHART OF THE DAY: Spillover effects of U.S. stimulus programs on Canada’s commodity and energy prices
Upward pressure on the Canadian dollar will have positive effects on the value of Canadian output, with increased demand for its products and increased buying power for Canadian consumers having a positive impact on both U.S. and Canadian economies. … READ MORE >
Second wave of the pandemic devastates the Canadian labor market
The surge in coronavirus infections in Canada this winter has taken a heavy toll on the economy, which has only added to the urgency for a vaccine to be widely distributed. … READ MORE >
Why Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus package would be a boon for Canada
Joe Biden’s proposed $1.9 trillion fiscal aid package would not only provide a significant stimulus for the United States, but it would also have a big effect on the Canadian economy. … READ MORE >
Trade holds the key to Canada’s economic fortunes
Canada could see a major and much-needed boost if the U.S. joins the Trans-Pacific Partnership given the degree of interdependence between the United States and Canada. … READ MORE >