Jobless claims data now points to rising labor market slack, as business conditions grow increasingly uncertain amid shifting trade, fiscal, and monetary policies. … READ MORE >
continuing claims
Mixed economic data points to bumpy road ahead
Looking forward, expect more volatility in June from geopolitical tensions and in July when the tariff pause expires. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims increased again. Is it time to worry?
New filings for unemployment benefits continued to climb last week, reaching 248,000 and nearing our threshold of 250,000 that suggests risk of a recession. … READ MORE >
Rising continuing claims and falling profits signal labor market strain
Since April, the number of continuing claims has broken the 1.9 million threshold twice, including last week—a level higher than any seen in 2019, before the pandemic. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims fall to lowest level since April
Initial jobless claims fell unexpectedly to 211,000 for the last week of December, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims climb amid holiday volatility
First-time claims for unemployment benefits increased to 224,000 Last week, in line with the 13-week moving average of 226,000. … READ MORE >
Morning market minute: The mystery of rising long-term unemployment
But there a mystery amid today’s strong labor market: Longer-term unemployment of greater than 27 weeks is on the rise. … READ MORE >
Jobless claims stabilize amid concerns over weak job gains
Initial claims last week rose by only 4,000, to 232,000, on a seasonally adjusted basis. Similarly, continuing claims for the week ending Aug. 8 increased by 4,000, to 1.863 million. … READ MORE >
Productivity continues to climb as investments take hold
The rebound of labor productivity in the second quarter is another sign of why the economy will continue to be on strong footing even as the labor market cools. … READ MORE >
Slower growth raises prospect of a Fed rate cut
Economic growth appeared much softer in the first five months of the year following the release of key economic data on Thursday. … READ MORE >