As much of the world prepares for a post-COVID phase, we believe that the worst of domestic supply chain issues are in the rear-view mirror. Yet rising infections in some countries, along with geopolitical tensions, could delay a full return to normal. … READ MORE >
coronavirus
FOMC’s policy decision: Rate hike, balance sheet reduction, revise down forecast, repeat
Policy normalization at the Federal Reserve took a giant step forward on Wednesday as the Federal Open Market Committee hiked the federal funds rate by 25 basis points while slashing its growth forecast and increasing its estimate of inflation. … READ MORE >
Preview of coming attractions: Inflation surges to 7.9%
The February consumer price index provided an unpleasant preview of coming attractions in the U.S. economy as top-line inflation soared by 0.8% on the month, pushing the year-ago reading to 7.9%, the fastest rate in 40 years. … READ MORE >
Consumer choice, self-rationing and preparing for shortages
The war in Ukraine, the cutoff of Russian exports and the possible removal of roughly 4.3 million barrels of crude from U.S. and European markets are likely to have a harmful impact on household balance sheets. … READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Job openings surpass 11 million in back-to-back months
The scramble by employers to find workers continued amid a historically tight labor market in January, as employers reported 11.3 million job openings for the month. … READ MORE >
U.S. February jobs report: Bittersweet symphony as employment rises by 678,000
Despite a net increase in total employment of 678,000 and a decline in the unemployment rate to 3.8% in February, the improvement in the American labor market is now in the rear-view mirror as the impact of geopolitical tensions and inflation sets in. … READ MORE >
The impact of an energy shock on Canada’s economy
Although high oil and gas prices had been good news for the Canadian economy over the past few decades, this time is different. … READ MORE >
Service sector moderated amid rising prices and labor crunch
The service sector registered slower growth in February as inflation and labor shortages remained top concerns, according to a report from the Institute for Supply Management on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims at lowest point since December as omicron retreats
New filings for jobless benefits fell below pre-pandemic levels for the first time since December as the economy continued to recover from the omicron surge. … READ MORE >
Bank of Canada raises rates in response to inflation
The Bank of Canada announced on Wednesday that it would raise its overnight rate to 0.5%, 25 basis points from the lower bound policy rate of 0.25%, to tackle inflation. … READ MORE >