With 10.1 million job vacancies in April, the openings-to-unemployed ratio—a proxy for labor demand and supply mismatches—surged to 1.79 from 1.64 previously. … READ MORE >
federal open market committee
Fed hikes rate a quarter point while creating framework for a pause
The 25 basis-point increase was accompanied by changes in the Federal Open Market Committee’s statement that imply a possible pause at the Fed’s next meeting in June. … READ MORE >
Catch-25: Fed hikes rates amid financial stability risk
The Federal Reserve finds itself as it lifted its policy rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday amid a quickly evolving global banking crisis. … READ MORE >
Fed launches $25 billion lending program to prevent bank run
The $25 billion Bank Term Funding Program was necessary to prevent a much larger crisis that would spread through the financial channel to the real economy and almost certainly tip the economy into recession. … READ MORE >
U.S. job creation remains robust, implying more aggressive rate hikes
February showed a 311,000 net change in total employment amid a 3.6% unemployment rate and 4.6% increase in average hourly earnings on a year-ago basis. … READ MORE >
February’s jobs report is likely to generate more questions than answers
We expect a net change in total employment of 310,000 when the jobs data for February is released on Friday, with many of the gains attributable to seasonal fluctuations in hiring. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview: Fed to slow pace of rate hikes to 25 basis points
Our base case remains that the Federal Reserve’s policy rate will peak between 5% and 5.25% and stay there until early next year. … READ MORE >
Chart of the day: U.S. producer inflation remained elevated
The report adds pressure on the Federal Reserve, which is considering more aggressive measures to tame inflation. … READ MORE >
Updated FOMC call: Fed to hike policy rate by 75 basis points
Based on movements inside the rate markets, quickly changing inflation expectations and a rattled investor class, we now expect the Federal Reserve on Wednesday to raise its policy rate by 75 basis points to a range between 1.25% and 1.50%. … READ MORE >
FOMC preview: 50-basis-point hikes through September
We expect that the Federal Open Market Committee this week will lift the federal funds policy rate by 50 basis points to a range between 1.25% and 1.5%. … READ MORE >