We would urge investors, firm managers and policymakers not to overinterpret the temporary factors driving the top-line decline and to expect a similar dynamic in the November jobs estimate. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
Strong gains in Income and spending boost economic growth in September
American households are well positioned to keep spending at a 3% to 3.5% pace as inflation moves back to 2% and real wages continue to increase. … READ MORE >
American economic outperformance continues as GDP expands by 2.8%
The U.S. economy continues to show strength, with full employment, price stability and strong productivity gains. … READ MORE >
Consumer confidence strengthens despite cooling labor demand
Job openings fell to 7.4 million, the fewest since 2021, from 7.86 million, while hirings rose to 5.56 million from 5.4 million according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. … READ MORE >
Financial conditions improve in Canada and U.S., setting stage for growth
Financial conditions continue to improve both in Canada as well as the United States, signaling stability in markets and setting the groundwork for economic growth. … READ MORE >
A nascent dollar bloc: Re-globalization amid U.S.-Chinese tensions
We see a nascent dollar trading bloc forming out of need to protect essential industries. … READ MORE >
October jobs report will be distorted by hurricane and strike
We expect a top-line gain in total employment of roughly 120,000 jobs, which is approximately 80,000 below what our model would otherwise imply. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims fall despite hurricane’s impact
Total initial claims dropped to 227,000 from 242,000 for the week ending Oct. 18, the Labor Department reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Housing starts and permits ease in September
September’s housing starts came in at 1.35 million, down 0.5% from August, while building permits, a proxy for future projects, fell 2.9% to 1.4 million. … READ MORE >
September retail sales top forecasts
Retail sales for all items increased by 0.4% while the control group grew by 0.7% in September. … READ MORE >