Housing starts and permits rebounded sharply in February after unfavorable weather slowed projects across the country in January. Housing starts rose by 10.7% in February, while permits increased by 1.9%, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday. The increases exceeded ... READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
Industrial production rises to highest level in three months
Industrial production rebounded in February after a two-month drop likely because of unfavorable winter weather. Overall volume rose by 0.1% on the back of robust manufacturing production, which grew by 0.8% on the month, the Federal Reserve reported on Friday. The total industrial production figure ... READ MORE >
U.S. retail sales in February grew at the fastest rate since September
Retail sales rebounded in February, showing that the sharp drop in January was likely more noise than trend, according to data from the Commerce Department on Thursday. Once the seasonal factors in January’s data faded away, overall spending at retail stores, restaurants and online remained solid ... READ MORE >
FOMC preview: A status quo meeting
We anticipate that the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on March 19 and 20 will maintain the status quo in its policies. Our forecast implies no change in the federal funds rate, which will remain in a range between 5.25% and 5.5%. The FOMC’s median projection for interest rates in its dot ... READ MORE >
February consumer price index: Sticky yet under control
The consumer price index increased at a robust rate in February for the second month in a row though this increase was not a surprise given the recent rise in gasoline prices, and, more importantly, the noise in housing inflation data. The top-line and core CPI numbers both grew at 0.4% on the ... READ MORE >
U.S. employment report: Robust hiring continued in February
Sustained demand for labor in the American economy was on vivid display on Friday as the Labor Department reported that 275,000 jobs were created in February. The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised down its initial estimate of the January jobs report from 353,000 jobs created to 229,000 and the ... READ MORE >
Job openings inch down as economy stays on track for a soft landing
While the job openings data released on Wednesday continued to show a tight labor market in January, it remained on a downward trend toward normalization. Job openings cooled in back-to-back months to 8.86 million in January with December's figure revised down to 8.89 million from 9.03 million ... READ MORE >
Softer economic data helps ease inflation concerns
The softer data in manufacturing activities, construction spending and consumer sentiment at the beginning of the year should alleviate some of the recent concerns regarding the rebound in inflation. The manufacturing sector, as indicated by the ISM manufacturing index, has been in contraction mode for ... READ MORE >
January inflation and spending data implies more noise than trend
The Federal Reserve's closely watched measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures index, continued to show strength in January, rising by 0.3% on the month and by 2.4% from a year ago. We are not too worried about the strong inflation print because of all the seasonal factors involved. ... READ MORE >
New home sales grew more slowly in January amid elevated mortgage rates
Sales of new homes grew by 1.5% in January, much slower than the 7.2% increase in December, most likely because of elevated mortgage rates. January's sales were also lower than estimated while December's increase was revised down from the 8% increase reported earlier by the Census Bureau. Slower sales ... READ MORE >