Expect the economy to settle into its long-term growth rate of around 1.8% next year. Read our forecasts for growth, inflation, unemployment, the dollar, interest rates and fiscal policy. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
Manufacturing sector in U.S. contracts in November
The manufacturing sector contracted for the second month in a row in November as lower overall demand and persistent labor shortages took their toll, the Institute for Supply Management reported on Friday. … READ MORE >
Inflation slows again, pointing to another rate pause
The personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation metric, was unchanged on the month, while the core measure rose by 0.2%. … READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: Slowdown even as jobs recover
Even with the overall pullback in manufacturing activity, employment in the sector has rebounded. After decades of decline, there are now as many goods-producing jobs in the American economy as in 2008. … READ MORE >
Durable goods and jobless claims offer a mixed picture of the economy
Overall orders for durable goods fell by 5.4% in October, led by a 49.6% decline in nondefense aircraft because of a drop in Boeing orders. … READ MORE >
U.S. existing home sales plunged to their lowest level since 2010
In October, sales of existing homes dropped to 3.79 million, marking the lowest point since 2010, the National Realtor Association reported on Tuesday. … READ MORE >
Industrial production posts biggest drop this year amid strikes
Production of motor and vehicle parts fell by 10% in October, marking the biggest drop since the beginning of the pandemic. … READ MORE >
Retail sales and producer inflation fall in October
The data for October’s retail sales and producer inflation has raised the probability of a soft landing by a significant margin. … READ MORE >
U.S. October consumer price index: Further evidence of disinflation
The October CPI report strongly implies a continuation of the current economic expansion and a soft landing for the American economy. … READ MORE >
U.S. October jobs report: Moderation in hiring as wage gains outpace inflation
The economy added 150,000 jobs in October with the unemployment rate at 3.9%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. … READ MORE >