The ISM services composite index fell to 51.4 from 52.6, while the prices paid subindex dropped to 53.4 from 58.6. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
Job openings inch up in February
Job openings rose by 8,000 to 8.756 million in September, slightly higher than forecasted. … READ MORE >
Full employment, low inflation and a virtuous cycle in the American economy
Today, we think that the economy has reached full employment and that a virtuous cycle that bolsters productivity and dampens inflation is now possible. … READ MORE >
U.S. spending and inflation improve above expectations
Spending rose by 0.8% on the month, compared with the forecast of 0.5%, while the personal consumption expenditures index—an inflation measure closely watched by the Federal Reserve—came in at 0.3%. … READ MORE >
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index: The Boeing effect takes a toll
The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index declined in March, reflecting sluggish activity across the production sector in general and the problems at Boeing in particular. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve’s policy path points to a rate cut in June
Our modified Taylor Rule implies that the federal funds policy rate should be reduced to a range between 4.75% and 5% in the near term. … READ MORE >
U.S. economy remained resilient in first quarter amid signs of future softening
The data is not likely to change the Federal Reserve’s course on monetary policy, with the central bank likely to hold rates steady at its May meeting. … READ MORE >
The Fed at an inflection point: A webinar from RSM US and U.S. Chamber of Commerce
With inflation easing and the labor market showing some signs of softening, the Fed has signaled that it intends to cut rates three times this year. But when will those cuts start? … READ MORE >
Existing home sales exceed forecasts as prices jump
There were 4.38 million existing homes sold in February, up by 9.5% from a month ago, the National Association of Realtors reported on Thursday. … READ MORE >
Fed holds rates steady as it implies three rate cuts in 2024
The primary takeaway from the Federal Open Market Committee’s policy statement and forecast is that the Fed, along with other major central banks, are likely to provide a near-synchronized set of rate cuts this year and next. … READ MORE >