The bond market remains unimpressed with the Treasury Department’s moves to reduce interest rates. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
Market Minute: Global investors are sounding the alarm on debt
Yields on 30-year notes in the United States and UK are at their highest levels in two decades. … READ MORE >
Producer prices unchanged, easing Fed’s hike pressure
The producer price index was unchanged on the month, while the core metric was running at the target level, rising by 0.2%. … READ MORE >
Seasonal distortions offer misguided look at U.S. labor market conditions
The U.S. economy is in a good spot heading into the second half of 2026 as the labor market is at full employment while job growth and wages do not imply second-round risks to the economy via the inflation channel. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: Lagging wages are the root of the affordability crisis
Although core inflation looks a bit more benign than topline inflation, RSM expects July’s U.S. labor data to reflect flat growth in real wages amid an ongoing affordability crisis. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: The Warsh effect and U.S. financial conditions
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh says he wants the financial markets to figure it all out without the forward guidance of the Fed. … READ MORE >
A hawkish Fed holds rates steady amid growing dissent
The three dissents in the 9-3 vote, though, came from regional presidents— Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan and Beth Hammack—and not from the Board of Governors. … READ MORE >
Parsimony is a feature, not a bug, at the new Fed
The major change in the Fed’s approach has been the partial removal of forward guidance. The result is rising uncertainty and volatility in the 2-year Treasury. … READ MORE >
RSM’s U.S. midyear economic update: Supply shocks ease
We expect that rate to accelerate to 2.5% in the current quarter and 2.1% during the final three months of the year. … READ MORE >
Market Minute: We expect a gain of 180,000 jobs in June
The gains will be driven by health care, education, government, leisure and hospitality, as well as the goods-producing and construction sectors. … READ MORE >