Consumer confidence continued to fall in July to the lowest level since February 2021 amid inflation angst and an economic slowdown. Sales of new homes fell by 8.1% in June. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
FOMC policy decision preview: Fed to hike lending rate .75% next week
A 100-basis-point increase in the federal funds rate will be on the table during the Federal Open Market Committee meeting next week, but we expect the central bank will hike the policy rate by 75 basis points. … READ MORE >
Wholesale gas futures point to drop below $4 a gallon
Wholesale gasoline futures imply that the average price per gallon of gas, which stands at $4.44, will most likely fall below $4 per gallon by the end of the summer. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment eases as industrial production falls
The drop in long-term inflation expectations was quite significant, down to 2.8%, the lowest in about a year, from 3.1%. … READ MORE >
Retail sales rebounded in June amid elevated inflation
Despite solid growth in June, sales at retail and food stores failed to offset sky-high inflation for the second straight month. … READ MORE >
Latest jobless claims and producer inflation show upside surprises
New filings for jobless benefits last week rose by 3.8% to 244,000 while producer inflation rose by a surprisingly strong 1.1% in June. … READ MORE >
U.S. June CPI: Persistent top-line inflation hits 9.1%
The top-line inflation rate hit 9.1% in June on the back of a 11.2% increase in gasoline prices and a 7.5% jump in overall energy prices … READ MORE >
U.S. employment report for June indicates no recession now
An American economy in free fall does not tend to produce 372,000 jobs in any given month, as the June employment report showed on Friday. The data released by the Labor Department strongly implied that the economy is not in recession. … READ MORE >
U.S. June jobs preview: Slower hiring in rate-sensitive industries
We expect the June U.S. employment report to show a total gain of 225,000 jobs, with risk of a stronger pace of hiring and an increase in the unemployment rate to 3.7%. … READ MORE >
Inflation outpaces consumer spending for the first time this year
Personal spending declined on an inflation-adjusted basis in May as spikes in gasoline and food prices depressed consumer sentiment and dampened spending on other discretionary items. … READ MORE >