Wholesale gasoline futures imply that the average price per gallon of gas, which stands at $4.44, will most likely fall below $4 per gallon by the end of the summer. … READ MORE >
Federal Reserve
Consumer sentiment eases as industrial production falls
The drop in long-term inflation expectations was quite significant, down to 2.8%, the lowest in about a year, from 3.1%. … READ MORE >
Retail sales rebounded in June amid elevated inflation
Despite solid growth in June, sales at retail and food stores failed to offset sky-high inflation for the second straight month. … READ MORE >
Latest jobless claims and producer inflation show upside surprises
New filings for jobless benefits last week rose by 3.8% to 244,000 while producer inflation rose by a surprisingly strong 1.1% in June. … READ MORE >
U.S. June CPI: Persistent top-line inflation hits 9.1%
The top-line inflation rate hit 9.1% in June on the back of a 11.2% increase in gasoline prices and a 7.5% jump in overall energy prices … READ MORE >
U.S. employment report for June indicates no recession now
An American economy in free fall does not tend to produce 372,000 jobs in any given month, as the June employment report showed on Friday. The data released by the Labor Department strongly implied that the economy is not in recession. … READ MORE >
U.S. June jobs preview: Slower hiring in rate-sensitive industries
We expect the June U.S. employment report to show a total gain of 225,000 jobs, with risk of a stronger pace of hiring and an increase in the unemployment rate to 3.7%. … READ MORE >
Inflation outpaces consumer spending for the first time this year
Personal spending declined on an inflation-adjusted basis in May as spikes in gasoline and food prices depressed consumer sentiment and dampened spending on other discretionary items. … READ MORE >
Initial jobless claims remain above pre-pandemic level
New claims inched down by only 0.9% last week, to 229,000, from an upwardly revised 231,000 in the prior week. The pre-pandemic level in 2019 was 218,000. … READ MORE >
Midyear update: An economy on knife’s edge as inflation bites
The supply, demand and energy shocks cascading through the American economy are sufficient to cause an end to the business cycle over the next six months. … READ MORE >