The American economy this year has been a story of strength and resilience that would have been hard to imagine a year ago. Easing inflation, a robust labor market and surging productivity are all fueling growth that is expected to continue throughout the year. In a recent wide-ranging conversation, ... READ MORE >
GDP
Industrial production and housing rebound in July, affirming GDP growth outlook
Industrial production, housing starts and permits in July have set the tone for a robust third quarter, as GDP growth is expected to be stronger than the long-run level of 1.8%. Industrial production rose 1% on the month, while housing starts and permits rose 3.9% and 0.1%, respectively, according to ... READ MORE >
U.S. economy was a lot stronger in first quarter, final GDP estimate shows
The U.S. economy was stronger in the first quarter than previous estimates indicated, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Thursday. The third and final estimate of gross domestic product showed a drastic upward revision to a 2.0% gain from 1.3% on a quarterly and annualized basis. The increase ... READ MORE >
U.S. Q3 GDP: 2.6% growth overstates economic activity as probable recession looms
“Sound and fury signifying nothing” is an apt description of the 2.6% (1.8% year-over-year) seasonally adjusted annualized rate of growth in the third quarter of 2022. Excluding trade and inventories, real final sales to domestic private purchasers increased at an anemic 0.1%, according to government data ... READ MORE >
Canada’s GDP steady as spending on services remained strong in May
Canada’s May GDP remained unchanged from April, as increases in service spending (0.4%) offset decreases in goods-producing industries (1%), according to data released by Statistics Canada on Friday. On a year-over-year basis, GDP grew by 5.6%, exceeding expectations. This makes Canada an interesting ... READ MORE >
Q2 US GDP: Economy contracts for second consecutive quarter
The American economy contracted for the second consecutive quarter April through June, at a pace of 0.9% due to weak inventory accumulation and an outsize decline in gross private investment, according to data released Thursday from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. However, the fact that the economy grew ... READ MORE >
Unexpectedly strong durable goods orders and trade data temper recession concerns
U.S. durable goods orders and the goods trade deficit in June beat expectations, according to data released Wednesday, tempering recession concerns before the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a rate hike later in the day. On top of that, shipments of nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft—a ... READ MORE >
Canada’s economy cools but outlook remains positive
Canada’s GDP grew 3.1% in the first quarter of 2022 as business investment and household consumption continued to boom while energy exports dragged, according to data released by Statistics Canada on Tuesday. The figure was in line with the Bank of Canada’s forecast but noticeably under market ... READ MORE >
Canada GDP rose 0.4% in August as the economy reopened
Canada’s gross domestic product in August rose by 0.4% to CA$1.97 trillion, led by continued rising demand for client-facing business services, according to data released by Statistics Canada on Friday. The rise in spending on in-person services led the economic recovery, as August marked the first ... READ MORE >
Third-quarter GDP: Record growth, but closing the output gap will take years
Top-line growth of 33.1% in the third-quarter gross domestic product woefully overstates the impaired condition of the American economy that is still in need of robust fiscal support and monetary accommodation to close a prodigious gap between actual and potential growth. An intensifying pandemic and ... READ MORE >