Consumer sentiment for March dropped to 63.4 from 67 as consumers’ confidence in the current economic conditions and their expectations both worsened on the month, though the survey results did not reflect the recent turmoil in financial markets … READ MORE >
Inflation expectations
How many jobs need to be sacrificed to tame inflation? Cost is rising, RSM models show.
Under our base case, a loss of 2.5 million jobs is consistent with a 5.1% unemployment rate, 3% inflation and a likely recession under current economic conditions. … READ MORE >
Bond market shows a shift in inflation expectations
The forward market now anticipates a 5.25% terminal rate for the federal funds rate at the Fed’s June meeting and then a gradual unwinding just below 4% in two years. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment falls as outlook worsens
The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index declined by a sharp 5.2 points to 54.7 in the first half of November, slightly above the all-time low in June. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment rises despite worsening inflation expectations
Consumer sentiment rose for the fifth straight month to 59.8 in October but a worsening inflation outlook clouded the otherwise positive news. … READ MORE >
Consumer sentiment rises to highest level since May
Consumer sentiment improved to 59.5 in September as inflation concerns eased, according to the University of Michigan’s index. … READ MORE >
Wholesale gas futures point to drop below $4 a gallon
Wholesale gasoline futures imply that the average price per gallon of gas, which stands at $4.44, will most likely fall below $4 per gallon by the end of the summer. … READ MORE >
Chart of the day: Consumer sentiment drops to record low
The headline consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan dropped to 50.2, the lowest on record. … READ MORE >